Konrad Scheffler wrote:

I strongly disagree with this. The ("true") relative frequency is not the same thing as the correct posterior. One can imagine a situation where the correct posterior (calculated from the available information) is very far from the relative frequency which one would obtain given the opportunity to perform exhaustive experiments.

I meant the relative frequency among all the situations in which we have the same information used in the computation of the posterior probability.

Regards,
  Javier
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