Despite Axil's authoritarian wisdom about cost effective power for concentrated
populations, I agree with you. Apartment owners will provide a central heating
and electrical system without a grid hookup to pay a middle man for unneeded
distribution services.
I will not worry about the demise of power transmission lines.
Bob
----- Original Message -----
From: Jed Rothwell
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Saturday, January 17, 2015 5:29 PM
Subject: Re: [Vo]:two answers from Bazhutov and current LENR news
Axil Axil <janap...@gmail.com> wrote:
Humanity will continue to migrate into the city from the remote countryside
Cities will house people in high concentrations.
In high concentrations, central generators may remain cost effective for a
while. Eventually, all machines will have built in cold fusion power supplies.
There will be no distribution of electricity anywhere, not even in your house.
Arthur Clarke predicted that cold fusion home generators will be DC, not AC,
because it is a lot safer. You cannot distribute DC electricity with a power
company, and transformers are wasteful and expensive.
Cold fusion power generators can be cogenerators, replacing central heating
or hot water heaters, at practically no additional cost.
Power production will continue to be grid based and connected to huge power
stations where economies of scale will rule the day.
Economy of scale does not work when scaling up costs more than scaling down!
That is why we have microcomputers nowadays instead of mainframe and
minicomputers. Even giant computers are made up of small ones in an MPP
configuration. Starting around 1980, small computers become more cost effective
than large ones. It was the "economy of scale" reversed -- the smaller, the
cheaper per FLOP or storage space.
The same thing happened to rural passenger rail transportation after the
introduction of the Model T. It soon became cheaper to drive a car than to ride
in a train or trolley car. Only large urban short range passenger service
survived. Automobiles are scaled down from railroad locomotives. They are
decentralized. They are not only cheaper, but far more convenient. Cold fusion
home generators will ultimately be far cheaper, more reliable and more
convenient than central electric power distribution.
Also, many applications that now use electricity will use cold fusion heat
directly. These include space heating, water heating, air conditioning and
refrigeration, clothes drying, process heating and so on. About 8% of all
energy used in the home. See chapter 15 of my book.
- Jed
