On Jun 14, 2007, at 6:51 AM, R.C.Macaulay wrote:
Howdy Vorts,
With all the energy info rhetoric emanating out of D.C. and news
sources do you sense the public is expecting too much from the
energy industry?
It is a case of much too little much too late.
What is your predicted time line for the first really serious
"bump" in the road ?
It appears to me we probably don't have long to wait. If the surge
doesn't work then trouble is imminent. Congress will force a pull
out, maybe even sooner. Some obvious possible follow-on scenarios,
in random order, include (a) destruction of oil infrastructure by
civil war, (b) Iran running rampant in Iraq and elsewhere followed by
international Middle East war (with or without us), (c) preemptive
strikes against Iran nuclear facilities by Israel followed by who
knows what, (d) general embargo of oil to the US out of general
hatred of our culture and spite for our policies, (e) Iran gets the
bomb, or one is used, followed by nuclear warfare, (f) a successful
terrorist attack followed by rounds of retribution, and the election
of a sudden dark horse demagogic war mongering president, a draft,
etc., (g) disintegration, chaos, and genocide in Lebanon and the West
Bank, followed by intervention by who knows and then by who knows and
then by who knows..., (h) a general all out conventional Naval and
Air strike on Iranian military and infrastructure in an effort to
prevent or minimize any or all of the above for a while.
And then there are the weather scenarios ...
It is just a matter of months, no more than 18.
Regards,
Horace Heffner