On Jun 14, 2007, at 9:04 PM, Robin van Spaandonk wrote:
(e) Iran gets the
bomb, or one is used, followed by nuclear warfare,
I doubt that Iran would be that stupid. First they know as well as
anyone else
roughly what Israel has (not to mention that the US is just itching
for an
opportunity to test it's latest designs in the field). Even if Iran
had a few
bombs, that would never constitute a successful first strike
capability. At best
all they could hope for is that it would serve as a deterrent.
Despite the fact
that the Western media makes a meal of Ahmadinejad's rhetoric, I
seriously doubt
that he is a fool. Not to mention that Iran would suffer exactly
the same
problem that Israel would, i.e. fallout from their own bombs.
Even just the pursuit of nuclear weapons is stupid. It dooms the
children of the society to grow up under the threat of sudden
annihilation in a fireball or hail of neutrons. It places small
countries with small arsenals at risk of complete annihilation within
minutes, and greatly increases the chances of a preemptive strike.
It eliminates the need for occupation.
Regards,
Horace Heffner
