Robert Lynn <robert.gulliver.l...@gmail.com> wrote: I am afraid household electricity is just not going to get much cheaper - > maybe 20-30% drop, but it probably will drop far more for industry. >
I disagree. As I described in my book cost will drop by 60% at first and later by more than 100%. That is to say, the overall cost of equipment will be less than we now pay. Cold fusion generators will also serve as cogenerators, replacing heating and air-conditioning equipment. When the technology matures, the total cost of a cold fusion generator will be less than the heating and air-conditioning equipment it replaces. This is not a free lunch; it is a lunch you are paid to eat. This will also eliminate the cost of natural gas. Furthermore, as I show in chapter 15, many applications that now call for electricity will use cold fusion heat directly instead, so overall demand for electricity will be reduced by roughly 8% in the home and much more in industry. > The cost of ownership and maintainence of in-house LENR based electrical > power generation will still make it marginal as to whether it is worth > doing. It will cost less to maintain the equipment than it costs to maintain our present HVAC equipment. This is inevitable, as I show in chapter 14. When the core technology cost component falls, the others must follow. For example, when cheap microprocessors are developed, it is inevitable that cheap hard disks and printers will follow. When Henry Ford lowers the cost of automobiles, it is inevitable that tire manufacturers will find ways to make much cheaper tires. Problem being the extreme spikiness of loads with average of 500-1000 > watts and peaks of 5-10kW. In chapter 15 I show why the spikiness will be reduced. Most of the heavy duty demand for power will be eliminated by the use of heat instead of electricity. - Jed
