I agree with Mike as far as the physics limitations.

Video cards for PCs are the same thing.  They pushed the technology of PCI,
AGP, PCI-Express before the video cards even came close to reaching the bus'
capacity.

Josh Luthman
Office: 937-552-2340
Direct: 937-552-2343
1100 Wayne St
Suite 1337
Troy, OH 45373

Those who don't understand UNIX are condemned to reinvent it, poorly.
--- Henry Spencer


On Mon, Nov 24, 2008 at 1:50 PM, Sam Tetherow <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> I couldn't imagine how the logistics of this would work.  What makes
> sense is if your customer uses more bandwidth, then they pay for it.
> Everything else is just an inefficient way to do the same.
>
> Lets say you are going to charge $150/Mb/month for 95% usage (just
> picked a number).  If the customer pays the bill for their usage 100%
> comes to you.  Now lets say that we have come up with some efficient
> scheme to accurately bill the various content providers for their
> 'usage'.  If we need $150/Mb/month and bill at that rate to say Netflix,
> do you think that Netflix is going to have $0 overhead on accounts
> payable for that bill?  Do you think they are going to take a loss on
> that expense?  So it is going to cost the end customer $150/Mb/month+$x.
>
> This cost will be averaged out to each customer based on total usage.
> As the service becomes more popular then the price is going to go up.
> Wait, doesn't this sound familiar?  The problem with selling a commodity
> is that supply and demand laws do apply.  The more the demand the less
> the supply.  We don't get economy of scale savings in last mile on
> wireless gear.  We have a very finite amount of bandwidth we can
> effectively deliver from an AP/tower.
>
> Marlon is the one ahead of the curve on this one (and all the others
> that have been billing based on usage already).  This is most likely
> where we are going to end up.  I don't necessarily think it will be down
> to $x/GB transfer it will at least be tiered service similar to cell
> phone plans today.
>
> Where WISPs run into the issue is in the short term.  We have to survive
> the market until the billing model changes.  Eventually Cable and Telco
> (and even Fiber at some point) is going to have to switch from unlimited
> to some form of metered (Comcast and Time Warner are already testing
> this model).  They just have the advantage of having better last mile
> bandwidth than we do and they generally get better upstream pricing.
>
>    Sam Tetherow
>    Sandhills Wireless
>
>
>
>
>
> Scottie Arnett wrote:
> > I read about a model somewhere that might work. The content providers
> paid the ISP a percentage for delivery of the content. Now I might could
> live with that if the economics worked out.
> >
> > Scottie
> >
> > ---------- Original Message ----------------------------------
> > From: "John Scrivner" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> > Reply-To: WISPA General List <wireless@wispa.org>
> > Date:  Mon, 24 Nov 2008 10:11:04 -0600
> >
> >
> >> I think we will eventually see people just leave constant streams open
> day
> >> and night. How many of you leave your TV on much of the time whether you
> are
> >> watching it or not? This throws off the over-subscription model which
> >> relates to how many people are using the service at one time. When we
> start
> >> seeing all channels available at all times via Internet with some common
> >> interface (Netflix, Tivo, Windows Media Player, Real Player, Quicktime,
> >> etc.) then we will have this problem to contend with as well.
> >>
> >> I hope content providers start making all of their content interactive
> such
> >> that viewers have to click something (like ads) from time to time to
> >> maintain the free TV service. This would help them to sell their ads at
> a
> >> premium and would provide an automatic "off" button for the stream when
> >> people walk away from the "TV" and do not click something once in a
> while to
> >> prove they are watching the content and commercials.
> >> Scriv
> >>
> >>
> >> On Mon, Nov 24, 2008 at 8:46 AM, Chuck McCown - 3 <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> wrote:
> >>
> >>
> >>> I think the canopy 450 will do something like 30 down and 10 up.  So
> that
> >>> could give you 20 simultaneously which statistically could work if you
> had
> >>> 50-100 on an AP.
> >>>   ----- Original Message -----
> >>>  From: Travis Johnson
> >>>   To: WISPA General List
> >>>  Sent: Monday, November 24, 2008 7:30 AM
> >>>  Subject: Re: [WISPA] NetFlix Streaming Bandwidth Information
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>   You have hit the problem directly on the head. You think a simple
> Canopy
> >>> AP is going to solve the problem? Let's say you are allocating 10Mbps
> >>> downlink on this AP... that would mean 5 customers per AP (@ 2Mbps
> each).
> >>> Nobody in this market can survive on those ratios.
> >>>
> >>>  This service needs capped and people that want it can pay for "video
> >>> streaming" which is $100/month extra... that would be my vote.
> >>>
> >>>  Travis
> >>>  Microserv
> >>>
> >>>  Drew Lentz wrote:
> >>> In areas like yours, though, some would argue that is the perfect place
> for
> >>> some type of licensed LTE/WiMAX type of service. Even with a Canopy
> type
> >>> service it would beat down the doors of the telco offering only 3Mbps
> of
> >>> service. As more and more devices have bandwidth requirements, the
> service
> >>> providers will fall into line, I believe.
> >>>
> >>> Everyone has always pushed for more bandwidth, but it as always come
> from
> >>> the customers as opposed to the devices. It seems like now, the device
> >>> requirements will leave the customer with no choice and force them into
> a
> >>> decision of higher consumption.
> >>>
> >>> As far as furthering the digital divide, I don't think it will hurt it
> all
> >>> that bad. On the contrary what would be nice to see is the
> communications
> >>> mediums becoming less expensive because of the amount of services
> required.
> >>> Just like the price of bandwidth has changed over the years, I think it
> >>> will
> >>> continue to drop. I would love to see some research data on the cost
> per MB
> >>> over the last 10 years and see what the trend is like.
> >>>
> >>> That combined with less expensive and functional equipment (UBNT's
> Bullet,
> >>> the introduction of Mikrotik years ago, for examples) gives operators
> the
> >>> ability to put more bandwidth than before in users hands at a fraction
> of
> >>> the cost.
> >>>
> >>> I think more than anything it will come down to a backhaul battle.
> Fiber to
> >>> the node, fiber to the AP, high capacity microwave links (Bridgewave,
> >>> Dragonwave, Ceragon, etc) These are all going to be critically
> important to
> >>> aggregate and transport these huge amounts of data.
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>
> >>> On 11/24/08 1:06 AM, "Scottie Arnett" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> >>>
> >>>  It will further the digital divide. Rural remote locations will be
> again
> >>> left
> >>> in the boon docks. Where I live, 3 meg DSL is the fastest available
> >>> connection
> >>> at $75/mth. Cheapest T1 here is over $600/mth, and fiber? forget it,
> can't
> >>> get
> >>> it unless you want to build about 4 towers just to backhaul, or pay
> >>> $1200/mth
> >>> for each cell tower to put them on.
> >>>
> >>> Why should the small ISP's foot the bill for Netflix and these
> companies
> >>> that
> >>> are making million's of dollars more than we are?
> >>>
> >>> Scottie
> >>>
> >>> ---------- Original Message ----------------------------------
> >>> From: Drew Lentz <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> >>> Reply-To: WISPA General List <wireless@wispa.org>
> >>> Date:  Mon, 24 Nov 2008 00:41:41 -0600
> >>>
> >>>    I'm all for open systems. Limiting the amount of bandwidth at any
> level
> >>> is,
> >>> to me, a terrible thing to do. I understand that it doesn't necessarily
> fit
> >>> the model as it applies to today's business for many ISPs, but, maybe
> its
> >>> time to change the model.
> >>>
> >>> This is where the separation of providers starts to take shape. The
> >>> networks
> >>> that can handle these loads and supply the end-user are going to win
> the
> >>> customers. I honestly think the demand of large scale bandwidth is
> going to
> >>> be fed to the end-user by the consumer electronics market. Look at CES
> last
> >>> year. Look how many devices demand connectivity at certain levels. If
> your
> >>> current service provider can't get you what you need, there will always
> be
> >>> someone else who can.
> >>>
> >>> There is some great info here from a recent conference:
> >>> http://www4.gsb.columbia.edu/citi/events/summit2008
> >>>
> >>> Take a look at the slides. I like the reference to the slide where it
> >>> breaks
> >>> down how much bandwidth utilization there is expected to be per
> household:
> >>> 35+ Mbps (and those are numbers from 2006!)
> >>> 4 VoIP lines @ 100Kbps
> >>> 2 SDTVs @ 2Mbps
> >>> 2 HDTVs @ 9 Mbps
> >>> 1 Gaming device @ 1Mbps
> >>> 1 High Spedd Internet @ 10Mbps
> >>>
> >>> Scary how quickly it adds up :)
> >>>
> >>> My favorite quote:
> >>> ³By the year 2010 bandwidth for 20 homes will generate more traffic
> than
> >>> entire Internet in 1995²
> >>>
> >>> -d
> >>>
> >>>
> >>> On 11/24/08 12:24 AM, "Butch Evans" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> >>>
> >>>      On Sun, 23 Nov 2008, Travis Johnson wrote:
> >>>
> >>>        It will be interesting to see how this plays out... the amount
> of
> >>> bandwidth required to sustain this type of service is not cost
> >>> effective. My upstream costs alone are over $50/Mbps. So if someone
> >>> wants to run a constant 2Mbps stream, my raw cost is $100 per month
> >>> (not including backhaul, support, AP costs, etc.).
> >>>
> >>> Wait until people realize that this type of service isn't going to
> >>> be "free" as they think now.... when they get a $150/month internet
> >>> bill, the $40 for DishTV will look pretty good. ;)
> >>>          Even the cable companies are feeling the burn here:
> >>> http://tinyurl.com/3oufk8
> >>>
> >>> Or a better story:
> >>> http://news.cnet.com/2100-1034_3-5079624.html
> >>>
> >>> I am glad to see these types of reports coming out.  The cable ops
> >>> and telcos have been rapidly trying to commoditize Internet access
> >>> services and now they are realizing how stupid that was.  In my
> >>> opinion, high profile companies that are setting these limits are
> >>> going to help the smaller guys (that's us) "get away" with what, in
> >>> many cases, we were already doing.  BW caps are something that will
> >>> HAVE to happen in one form or another.
> >>>
> >>> <RANT>
> >>> Where are all the net neutrality people now?  Why aren't you all
> >>> arguing that something like this is not relevant?  Isn't this
> >>> something that you have all asked for?  I mean, if I sell someone a
> >>> 2 meg connection, shouldn't they (and everyone else on the system)
> >>> be able to run at 2 meg for the whole month?  What difference does
> >>> it make if I am buying a wireless connection, DSL or cable
> >>> connection?  In a net neutral environment, should it matter that I
> >>> am streaming this type of content?
> >>> </RANT>
> >>>
> >>> I feel better.  ;-)
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>
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