The latest FCC report on form 477 broadband data is out
(http://hraunfoss.fcc.gov/edocs_public/attachmatch/DOC-296239A1.pdf). While
I don't see a whole lot of useful data in it, I do see where WISP's are
killing themselves and the industry, why?

  a.. In the periods prior to the December 2008 report, fixed wireless has
shown a steady increase in subscribers. The last reporting period the number
of subscribers dropped from 808,000 to 488,000!!! That's a 39.6% drop in the
actual data that had been previously reported. Know I know that most of the
problem is the fact they now require census tract reporting rather than zip
codes, but dropping like this does not help the industry as a whole.
  b.. Because of the low number of reported subscribers, the reporting by
technology portions of the report does not even earn fixed wireless a spot
on the charts in it's own category. It's lumped in with the 1.4% total of
all other technologies compared to the rest of the broadband industry. Hell
Satellite has their own category with .9%.
  c.. The total number of fixed wireless providers reporting is 617. That
means there are a huge number of WISP's not filing form 477 and those that
didn't report must have a large number of subscribers. The previous period
where fixed wireless had 808,000 subscribers had only 505 WISP's report!
Matt Larsen and the WISP directory have around 1,800 WISP's registered. I've
heard other estimates between 2,000 and over 4,000. Only 617 fixed wireless
operators reporting is not helping the cause at all.
  d.. The National broadband plan is being formulated as we speak, looking
at those statistics it appears the WISP industry is in a serious decline and
that as a total percentage of broadband provided to consumers nationally,
they make no significant difference.
If you were a government policy maker, would you even pay attention to
WISP's. I certainly would not. They have to make decisions based on data and
that benefit the majority of the country. WISP's have thumbed their noses at
providing this data for years. I think it is really going to bite them in
the butt now. Fiber to the home is coming liking it or not. USF reform is
coming like it or not. USF reform is going to subsidize broadband to the
very markets wireless serves more economically today. Removing that
advantage is going to put the WISP industry in serious trouble.

The manufacturers are killing themselves as well. In their quest to just
sell radios, they have missed the importance of keeping the industry
healthy. If the WISP's cannot compete and/or show that they are a
significant option to the overall broadband infrastructure in the US, how
will they continue to sell product. If anyone knows the true number of
WISP's out there it is the manufacturers. They should be leading the charge
with groups like WISPA to make sure ALL WISP's stand up and get counted. How
hard would it be to stuff each shipment with educational material on the
importance of filing form 477?

The current FCC is very open minded but the results of this type of report
force them to make decisions that benefit the most people. 488,000 is a very
small portion of over 129 million homes.

All I can say is ouch........


Thank You,
Brian Webster




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