Something has to be wrong with the data set.  I don't know of ANY WISPs that 
have actually gone backward in the last year or two.

It's very likely that the new reporting mechanism is messed up due to the 
confusing new form etc.

marlon


----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Brian Webster" <bwebs...@wirelessmapping.com>
To: "WISPA List" <wireless@wispa.org>; "memb...@wispa. org" 
<memb...@wispa.org>; "WISPA Board" <bo...@wispa.org>; "Motorla List Beehive" 
<motor...@afmug.com>
Sent: Monday, February 15, 2010 10:36 AM
Subject: [WISPA] WISP's are killing themselves!!!! - New FCC form 477 
reportis out, not looking good for Fixed Wireless


> The latest FCC report on form 477 broadband data is out
> (http://hraunfoss.fcc.gov/edocs_public/attachmatch/DOC-296239A1.pdf). 
> While
> I don't see a whole lot of useful data in it, I do see where WISP's are
> killing themselves and the industry, why?
>
>  a.. In the periods prior to the December 2008 report, fixed wireless has
> shown a steady increase in subscribers. The last reporting period the 
> number
> of subscribers dropped from 808,000 to 488,000!!! That's a 39.6% drop in 
> the
> actual data that had been previously reported. Know I know that most of 
> the
> problem is the fact they now require census tract reporting rather than 
> zip
> codes, but dropping like this does not help the industry as a whole.
>  b.. Because of the low number of reported subscribers, the reporting by
> technology portions of the report does not even earn fixed wireless a spot
> on the charts in it's own category. It's lumped in with the 1.4% total of
> all other technologies compared to the rest of the broadband industry. 
> Hell
> Satellite has their own category with .9%.
>  c.. The total number of fixed wireless providers reporting is 617. That
> means there are a huge number of WISP's not filing form 477 and those that
> didn't report must have a large number of subscribers. The previous period
> where fixed wireless had 808,000 subscribers had only 505 WISP's report!
> Matt Larsen and the WISP directory have around 1,800 WISP's registered. 
> I've
> heard other estimates between 2,000 and over 4,000. Only 617 fixed 
> wireless
> operators reporting is not helping the cause at all.
>  d.. The National broadband plan is being formulated as we speak, looking
> at those statistics it appears the WISP industry is in a serious decline 
> and
> that as a total percentage of broadband provided to consumers nationally,
> they make no significant difference.
> If you were a government policy maker, would you even pay attention to
> WISP's. I certainly would not. They have to make decisions based on data 
> and
> that benefit the majority of the country. WISP's have thumbed their noses 
> at
> providing this data for years. I think it is really going to bite them in
> the butt now. Fiber to the home is coming liking it or not. USF reform is
> coming like it or not. USF reform is going to subsidize broadband to the
> very markets wireless serves more economically today. Removing that
> advantage is going to put the WISP industry in serious trouble.
>
> The manufacturers are killing themselves as well. In their quest to just
> sell radios, they have missed the importance of keeping the industry
> healthy. If the WISP's cannot compete and/or show that they are a
> significant option to the overall broadband infrastructure in the US, how
> will they continue to sell product. If anyone knows the true number of
> WISP's out there it is the manufacturers. They should be leading the 
> charge
> with groups like WISPA to make sure ALL WISP's stand up and get counted. 
> How
> hard would it be to stuff each shipment with educational material on the
> importance of filing form 477?
>
> The current FCC is very open minded but the results of this type of report
> force them to make decisions that benefit the most people. 488,000 is a 
> very
> small portion of over 129 million homes.
>
> All I can say is ouch........
>
>
> Thank You,
> Brian Webster
>
>
>
>
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