Moon of Alabama.png

 

 

Wannabe Sultan Meets Russian Airborne Division

 

What Is He Going To Do?

 

 

"b", Moon of Alabama, 9 February 2016

 

The Syrian campaign against the foreign supported terrorists
<https://medium.com/@BradRHoff/islamic-state-leader-omar-al-shishani-fought-
under-u-s-umbrella-as-late-as-2013-147354ea1b7f>  continues with the help of
Russia, Iran and other associated forces. This campaign is aimed at killing
all terrorists and their associated forces as demanded
<https://medium.com/@BradRHoff/islamic-state-leader-omar-al-shishani-fought-
under-u-s-umbrella-as-late-as-2013-147354ea1b7f>  by the United Nations
Security Council resolution 2254.

 

"[r]eiterates its call in resolution 2249 (2015) for Member States to
prevent and suppressterrorist acts committed specifically by Islamic State
in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL, also known as Da'esh), Al-Nusra Front (ANF),
and all other individuals, groups, undertakings, and entities associated
with Al Qaeda or ISIL, and other terrorist groups, [...] and to eradicate
the safe haven they have established"

 

The U.S. for now seems to go along
<http://www.middleeasteye.net/columns/us-position-syria-tilts-favour-russian
-intervention-1555341698>  with that resolution and lets Syria and Russia do
what they must. But there are others who are more invested in Syria than the
Obama administration. The immediate aim
<http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-adviser-idUSKCN0VI1R
J>  of the Syrian forces is to close the border with Turkey and to liberate
Aleppo city from the Jihadi insurgents. 6,000 additional soldiers from Iran
have arrived
<https://elijahjm.wordpress.com/2016/02/09/6000-ial-sabereen-unit-of-the-ira
nian-revolutionary-guard-corps-in-aleppo-and-major-plans-before-the-summer/>
to support that effort. A major campaign is planned to launch during next
months. But the Saudis, Qataris, Turks and Israelis want to fight the Syrian
government down to the last Syrian rebel and foreign mercenary. They will
not give up the dreams and the very large investments they made to bring
Syria down. The Syrian insurgent groups were just summoned
<https://twitter.com/abdbozkurt/status/696999837837955072>  to Ankara to
receive new orders.

 

The Saudis made an insincere offer
<http://europe.newsweek.com/saudi-offer-troops-syria-not-realistic-experts-4
23860?rm=eu>  to send its own troops to fight in Syria. This is likely just
a cover to incite others to invade the country. Turkey is the most likely
candidate. Here a much read Turkish columnist, a feverish follower and
mouthpiece of Erdogan, makes the crazy argument
<http://www.yenisafak.com/en/columns/ibrahimkaragul/turkey-must-intervene-in
-syria-2026669>  that the self defence of Turkey demands to attack Syria and
its Russian and Iranian allies:

 

"The war Tehran and Moscow are carrying out in this country is a war against
Ankara. These two countries are actually directly fighting Turkey. There is
no way to hide this any longer. 
...
"Turkey must directly intervene in the Syria issue. Military action
included. If Iran and Russia are able to enter this country with such flimsy
pretexts, if they are able to bomb even the zero point of our border, if
they are exiling Syrian civilians to Turkey and attacking Turkey from Syria,
then Turkey has far more reason and right than they.

 

"Nobody would want an open war. Nobody would want a war between Russia and
Iran and Turkey. They would not even wish this. But this time it is very
serious. If a step is not taken today, we are going to have to fight under
tougher conditions than today in the future. There is no such thing as the
Syrian regime or Damascus administration anymore. The country is being
re-designed and this situation is clearly threatening us, the way is
directed at Turkey and we are expected to sit in silence and accept this!
Which country can surrender to such a thing? There is threat, physical
condition and legal reason to intervene."

 

Similar crazy words are written by Zionist propaganda clowns
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-era-of-us-abdication-on-syria-m
ust-end/2016/02/09/55226716-ce96-11e5-88cd-753e80cd29ad_story.html>  in
major U.S. newspapers
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-era-of-us-abdication-on-syria-m
ust-end/2016/02/09/55226716-ce96-11e5-88cd-753e80cd29ad_story.html?postshare
=151455037811931&tid=ss_tw> . A not yet existing siege of thousands of
al-Qaeda/al-Nusra fighters
<http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/politics/2016/01/syria-war-aleppo-jabhat-al
-nusra-return.html>  and maybe some 40,000 civilians
<http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/mar/12/worst-place-in-world-aleppo-ru
ins-four-years-syria-war>  in insurgent held parts of Aleppo is used to
demand a U.S. attack on Syrian and Russian forces. From the Washington Post:

 

"Operating under a NATO umbrella, the United States could use its naval and
air assets in the region to establish a no-fly zone from Aleppo to the
Turkish border and make clear that it will prevent the continued bombardment
of civilians and refugees by any party, including the Russians. It could use
the no-fly zone to keep open the corridor with Turkey and use its assets to
resupply the city and internally displaced people in the region with
humanitarian assistance.

 

"If the Russians and Syrians seek to prevent humanitarian protection and
resupply of the city, they would face the military consequences."

 

A map <http://picpaste.com/turkey-X6Xtga5M.png>  published last Friday in
the Italian 'La Repubblica' without further explanation shows a Turkish
invasion of the northern part of Syria which is currently held by the
Islamic State. Such an operation would allow the communication line between
Turkey and the Islamic State to stay open. That line is endangered by
Kurdish and Russian plans to attack the same area and to eliminate the ISIS
presence there.

 

That communication line is important. Last year the U.S. intelligence
community stated
<http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/isis-terror/isis-numbers-foreign-fighter-t
otal-keeps-growing-n314731>   that there were some 20,000 foreign fighters
with ISIS, Jabhat al-Nusra and other terrorists groups in Syria and Iraq. In
a congressional testimony today (pdf
<http://www.armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/Clapper_02-09-16.pdf> )
the director of national intelligence James Clapper put the current number
at 38,000. Turkey claims it closed its border for foreign fighters going to
Syria and Iraq. If so how did those additional 18,000 foreign Jihadis enter
Syria and Iraq? Did they just drop from the sky?

 

Those ISIS fighters are unlikely to have come as airborne troops. Russian
troops though would indeed fall from the sky should Turkey do something
stupid.

 

Russia has already warned that it was observing Turkish preparation for an
invasion. Yesterday it launched an alarm drill
<http://sputniknews.com/military/20160208/1034386896/russia-airborne-troops-
combat-alert.html>  for the airborne troops and military transport aviation
of its southern command. The 56th Guards Air Assault Brigade in Kamyshin and
the 7th Guards Airborne Division at Novorossiysk were put on alarm. Both
units are elite and took part in the Chechen wars. Last year a Russian
airborne air defense brigade also underwent alarm training. These force,
plus additional air force assets, would likely be the Russian response to a
Turkish invasion of Syria. They would fight on Syrian, not Turkish ground,
and would beat any medium-size Turkish invasion force to pulp.

 

Erdogan is blackmailing
<http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-08/we-can-put-refugees-buses-leaked-m
emo-shows-erdogan-blackmailed-europe-billions>  the EU
<http://www.reuters.com/article/us-europe-migrants-eu-turkey-idUSKCN0VH1R0>
with the threat to send hundreds of thousands of refugees. I do not
understand why the EU, and especially the German chancellor Merkel, allow
such behaviour. If the EU, or even Germany alone, would use the available
economic thumbscrews on Turkey its economy would scream. A warning to German
tourist to not go to Turkey because of the danger of terror attacks would
cost Turkey billions per year in income. Credit warnings about
over-leveraged Turkish banks could be made. Export credit lines could be
shortened. Agricultural imports from Turkey could come under greater
scrutiny. Within a year Turkey would lose at least 10% of its GDP. But EU
and Merkel seem not to mind to be laughed at by the wannabe Ottoman sultan.

 

The U.S. just snubbed
<http://www.todayszaman.com/diplomacy_in-snub-to-turkey-us-says-syrias-pyd-i
s-not-a-terror-group_411808.html>  Turkey by declaring that it does not see
the Syrian Kurdish YPG as a terrorist organization. Turkey summoned the U.S.
ambassador over the issue.

 

Erdogan seems to be losing it. He is now the most incalculable factor in the
further developments in Syria. But should he invade Syria he cannot count on
U.S. or NATO support. 

 

What is he going to do?

 

 

From:
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2016/02/where-the-wannabe-sultan-meets-a-russia
n-airborne-division.html

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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