I love the my internet is not working but netflix is working....
Takes some folks a bit for that to soak in.

-----Original Message----- From: Ken Hohhof
Sent: Friday, January 24, 2020 11:11 AM
To: 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group'
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] The Future

Yeah, Netflix ability to switch video quality / stream rate on the fly is actually pretty awesome. I know we all used to bitch about Netflix, but now I actually hold it up as the gold standard. Does Netflix work? OK, your Internet works. If flavor of the week streaming service doesn't work as good as Netflix, well, there you go.

I also like that Netflix traffic is usually identifiable because an rDNS lookup on the IP address returns something.ntflxvideo.net rather than some anonymous CDN or nothing at all. So if you are torching a customer's traffic to tell him what is maxing out his connection, it takes just a few seconds to say it's Netflix.


-----Original Message-----
From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of Bill Prince
Sent: Friday, January 24, 2020 12:04 PM
To: af@af.afmug.com
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] The Future

A few years ago, I did some testing with Netflix. I found that it would "function" down to just under 700 Kbps. For SD quality, about double that, or 1.5 Mbps. For HD, you needed a bit more than double that, or about 3 Mbps.

I did some more recent tests with Prime. It would consume 5-10 Mbps if you let it, but I found that it would "function" down to about 2 Mbps.
This function was roughly the same as Netflix SD quality.

I periodically throttle all of them, just to see what the effects will be. To date, Netflix does the best, and is even able to switch CODECs mid-stream most of the time. The rest, not so much.


bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 1/24/2020 9:37 AM, Robert Andrews wrote:
That's basically what I tell all my RV friends that are on the road
complaining about streaming.   Solves most of their problems at all
the weird places...

On 01/23/2020 01:17 PM, Mathew Howard wrote:
Yeah, last I looked that's what they said the lowest quality needed.
A few years back I did some testing with various speeds, and I think
I got down to somewhere around 500k before Netflix would break. But
even then, the picture quality was getting pretty ugly.

But seriously... if Netflix defaulted to lower quality (not lowest,
but in the middle), and made you set it higher if you wanted, most
people would never know or care... and it'd save a lot of bandwidth.

On Thu, Jan 23, 2020 at 3:14 PM Adam Moffett <dmmoff...@gmail.com
<mailto:dmmoff...@gmail.com>> wrote:

    I'm pretty sure the lowest quality level on Netflix needs 0.7
mbps.     If your rule ended up giving them 256k+512k then it would
have worked.


    On 1/23/2020 4:10 PM, Steve Jones wrote:
    Way back in the day, when powercode had the old type queue, we
    built our basic one to buffer at 512 long enough to maintain a 2
    hour sd stream at 256k with periodic 512k bucket refills. so
    really it was 512k effectively. It may very vell be that
    expectations of "standard" definition were different back then.
    but I thought that was an actual resolution standard

    On Thu, Jan 23, 2020 at 2:58 PM Ken Hohhof <af...@kwisp.com
    <mailto:af...@kwisp.com>> wrote:

        I don’t remember ever being able to stream Netflix on 256K.
        1M maybe, and 1.5M still gives you decent SD. You’re going
to
        need at least 2.5M though for HD.  So that’s one part of the
        answer is HD. Some streaming services, like DirecTV On
Demand,
        don’t have adaptive video quality and want a minimum of 5M
to
        stream.  Another factor is “live” video, which is compressed
        on-the-fly and probably not as efficiently as pre-recorded
        content.

        Of course, if the customer has more, video streams will
        happily use it.

        *From:* AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com
        <mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com>> *On Behalf Of *Steve Jones
        *Sent:* Thursday, January 23, 2020 2:29 PM
        *To:* AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com
        <mailto:af@af.afmug.com>>
        *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] The Future

        we are at the end of the wireless backhaul road. when I
        started 15 or so years ago, we were just moving off a
        handdful of random T1s to a bonded 6mb circuit backhauling
        that was nothing. Now we have two gig circuits on separate
        parts of our network, and we are a tiny WISP in podunk USA..
        We dont put less than 1.2gbps backhauls in for core
backhauls
        now. The existing technology for distance in a single unit
us
        roughly 2gbps when trying to cover any distance of merit.
Sure
        you can do more than that, you can cheat outside link
budgets
        and ignore your rain region. But if youre talking about most
        temperate region backhauls with legitimate reliability thats
        the wall.

        we keep poking a little more bits/hz out, but that not
really
        new tech, its all dependent upon smaller and smaller path
        budgets, that eventually wont be attainable. so you have to
        start doing shorter shots, with more radios, more channel
        size, etc. eventually you hit the point where its no longer
        economically viable to keep throwing radio and lease costs
at
        it and youll have to put glass in the dirt.

        Duct is whats future proof, fiber is just the current best
        long term option for transport. pending some breakthrough
        tech, its the only real long term cost effective future
        proofish option.

        We will hit a wall on demand at some point in the near term
as
        we run out of things to connect.

        Can anybody answer why 256k used to be able to deliver a
        decent SD netflix stream and now i need multiple mbps for
the
        same thing? asking for a friend

        On Thu, Jan 23, 2020 at 1:40 PM Carl Peterson
        <cpeter...@portnetworks.com
        <mailto:cpeter...@portnetworks.com>> wrote:

            "Elon started it as a project to raise money, yes.
Morgan
            Stanley is up valuing it because they don't understand
            technology. This project is not even close to spacex's
            purpose for existing. If it disappeared it would not
have
            any real effect on their overall mission."

            This isn't really true. There was one primary driver.

            1) You need to bring down the cost of launch
considerably
            in order to expand the launch market to a size where
            developing and maintaining a reusable rocket fleet makes
            sense but you can't bring down the cost of launch till
you
            have customers to fill the launch manifest and that
spool
            up will take years. SpaceX thinks they have solved this
by
            becoming their own customer for all their extra launch
            capacity for the foreseeable future.

            When they looked at #1 above they realized that there
was
            a huge potential market there and even a a few % of the
            global internet market could be a cash cow for years to
come.

            On Tue, Jan 21, 2020 at 9:13 PM Jason McKemie
            <j.mcke...@veloxinetbroadband.com
<mailto:j.mcke...@veloxinetbroadband.com>> wrote:

                Elon started it as a project to raise money, yes.
                Morgan Stanley is up valuing it because they don't
                understand technology. This project is not even
close
                to spacex's purpose for existing. If it disappeared
it
                would not have any real effect on their overall
mission.

                On Tuesday, January 21, 2020, Robert
                <i...@avantwireless.com
                <mailto:i...@avantwireless.com>> wrote:

                    um, no, Starlink is now becoming the primary
                    reason for the huge run-up in valuation for
SpaceX...


https://www.businessinsider.com/spacex-future-multibillion-dollar-va
luation-starlink-internet-morgan-stanley-2019-9

                    On 1/21/20 4:15 PM, Jason McKemie wrote:

                        The difference being that this is a side
                        project for one of the main businesses, not
                        their primary purpose. At best I don't think
                        this is going to be anything besides a
better
                        alternative to other satellite internet
options.

                        On Tuesday, January 21, 2020, Darin Steffl
                        <darin.ste...@mnwifi.com
<mailto:darin.ste...@mnwifi.com>> wrote:

                            Guys, lots of misinformation here.

                            They are NO plans nor hints of
integrating
                            Starlink antennas into Tesla cars. It
may
                            happen but no one has hinted of this
                            happening. All Tesla's have 3G or 4G
                            modems already built-in to them along
with
                            WiFi. Updates are sent via WiFi first
and
                            after the fleet has received the
updates,
                            they eventually push it to cars via
                            cellular data that haven't updated via
WiFi.

                            Regarding B2B backhaul, I don't believe
                            you'll see this as an option anytime
soon
                            for WISP's or other ISP's. They're
                            targeting residential and small
businesses
                            as well as government contracts. The
cost
                            if they did offer B2B backhaul services
                            would likely be higher than fiber to
your
                            network. Please stop thinking this will
                            happen as I bet it will not.

                            They may offer a self install option but
                            they'll also have a contractor to
perform
                            most installs for a cost is my guess.
                            Maybe they'll send a self install kit
for
                            X price and if you can't get it working,
                            they'll schedule a contract install for
XX
                            price.

                            I'll also say that you should not doubt
                            Elon's passion to achieve great things.
I
                            have a Tesla and it's a work of art and
by
                            far the best vehicle I've ever driven.
99%
                            of people who have driven one also think
                            this. Tesla is succeeding, SpaceX is on
                            it's way there, The Boring Company is
half
                            done with their Vegas tunnel, and
Starlink
                            will likely be a viable competitor for us.

                            On Tue, Jan 21, 2020 at 4:48 PM Ryan Ray
                            <ryan...@gmail.com
<mailto:ryan...@gmail.com>> wrote:

                                Can you link that? What exactly were
                                they testing?

                                On Tue, Jan 21, 2020 at 2:36 PM
Robert
                                Andrews <i...@avantwireless.com
<mailto:i...@avantwireless.com>> wrote:

                                    Somehow they passed a first
review
                                    from US DOD...   Can't be all
smoke
                                    and mirrors in space...

                                    On 01/21/2020 12:18 PM, Ryan Ray
                                    wrote:
                                    > I'm still very wary of this.
                                    There seems to be a lot of
                                    over-promising
                                    > under delivering. In typical
                                    Elon fashion, no details but the
                                    world runs
                                    > with it and puts out all these
                                    data models that make it seem
like
                                    the
                                    > second coming of christ.
                                    Customer CPE is a pizza box ufo
                                    <$200 and they
                                    > are starting in 2020, but
                                    there's no pictures or details.
                                    How is that
                                    > even possible? We're buying
450b
                                    at a more expensive cost and
there
                                    > ain't no phased antenna with
                                    motors in it.
                                    >
                                    > Then all you read online is
the
                                    cult following of spaceslax who
                                    takes a
                                    > twitter post as gospel and
just
                                    keeps perpetuating the same
tired
                                    > information.
                                    >
                                    >
                                    >
                                    > On Mon, Jan 20, 2020 at 10:02
AM
                                    Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com
<mailto:part15...@gmail.com>
                                    > <mailto:part15...@gmail.com
<mailto:part15...@gmail.com>>> wrote:
                                    >
                                    >     If the SpaceX Starlink
                                    system works at 50% of what it's
                                    hyped, it will
                                    >     become the future of rural
                                    internet. Urban is still going
to be
                                    >     dominated (eventually) by
                                    fiber for the foreseeable future.
                                    Higher
                                    >     speed
                                    >     wireless will be very,
very
                                    local.
                                    >
                                    >
                                    >     bp
                                    > <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
                                    >
                                    >     On 1/19/2020 6:29 PM, Matt
                                    Hoppes wrote:
                                    >      > I don’t know why, but
                                    this evening got me thinking
about
                                    >     broadband delivery over
the
                                    past 30 years and the future of
                                    broadband.
                                    >      >
                                    >      > First we had nothing,
                                    then along came dial-up and that
was
                                    >     amazing and many companies
                                    sprung up offering the service.
Giants
                                    >     like AOL and Prodigy.
                                    >      >
                                    >      > Then DSL and Cable came
                                    along as well as wireless and
                                    dial-up has
                                    >     all but died.
                                    >      >
                                    >      > Now DSL is basically
                                    dead, cable and wireless have
gone
                                    through
                                    >     several iterations and we
                                    are seeing a push to fiber.
                                    >      >
                                    >      > What’s the possibility
in
                                    the next 10 years cable and
wireless
                                    >     will be dead technologies
                                    with fiber at the fore front?
                                    Possibly.
                                    >      >
                                    >      > But then..... is fiber
                                    really future proof? We are
                                    talking about
                                    >     investing hundreds of
                                    millions into fiber
                                    infrastructure, because
                                    >     it’s “the future”. But is it?
                                    >      >
                                    >      > So far every technology
                                    delivery mechanism to date has
become
                                    >     obsolete in as little as
                                    6-10 years.
                                    >
                                    >     --
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                                    >
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                                    >

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                            Minnesota WiFi

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