I don't believe this will happen in the next few weeks. There is still too much new hype and news about the price right now... it will start up again on Monday and continue to climb for several days... at least I'm hoping. :)

Travis


On 12/9/2017 11:35 AM, Carl Peterson wrote:
Both markets will be settled in cash... so they aren't actually trading btc, just betting on it.  So like cash settled gold futures, the futures market can be much bigger then the real market. If I'm a whale and have margin to back it up, I can sell millions in futures and then just dump BTC to drive the price down.  This will happen.

On Dec 9, 2017, at 1:24 PM, Carl Peterson <cpeter...@portnetworks.com <mailto:cpeter...@portnetworks.com>> wrote:

The long takes the hit.  It's an exit strategy for whales.  The issue thus far has been that you really can't sell in any quantity without driving the price down.  Now you can, assuming someone is willing to take a long position.



Sent from my iPhone
On Dec 9, 2017, at 11:44 AM, Chuck McCown <ch...@wbmfg.com <mailto:ch...@wbmfg.com>> wrote:

Whoever is brokering the short positions would be taking the hit I would think.
*From:* Carl Peterson
*Sent:* Saturday, December 09, 2017 9:22 AM
*To:* af@afmug.com
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT: BTC futures

BTC is particularly vulnerable to this because of the number of "whales" that have been holding for a long time and for the most part all know each other.

On Dec 9, 2017, at 11:02 AM, Chuck McCown <ch...@wbmfg.com> wrote:

Never thought about shorting and then dumping.  I guess if you have a large enough position on anything that could work.  I wonder if there are laws against doing it in the stock market?
*From:* Travis Johnson
*Sent:* Saturday, December 09, 2017 8:51 AM
*To:* af@afmug.com
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT: BTC futures
Do you really think the "average" person that is buying into BTC right now knows any of that information? Bitcoin has been on the financial news channels every single day this week... and it will be again Monday because of the futures trading.

The only thing driving the price up is demand... so the more news, the more it's talked about, the higher the price will go. LOL

Travis


On 12/8/2017 12:06 PM, Carl Peterson wrote:
Futures trading could just as easily drive the price down. If Im sitting on a 100k coin and I want to sell half of it, I short BTC to hedge against the price dropping and then sell a bunch (which will cause the price to drop).  I fully expect this to happen.
On Fri, Dec 8, 2017 at 1:27 PM, Travis Johnson <t...@ida.net> wrote:

    Hey.... BTC is back "down" to $15k today... and the futures
    options start trading on Sunday, which I think will drive the
    price up substantially this coming week... now may be a good
    time to get in.

    Travis



--

Carl Peterson

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