On Sat, Mar 30, 2024 at 9:54 AM Matt Mahoney <mattmahone...@gmail.com>
wrote:

> ...We can measure the fine structure constant to better than one part per
> billion. It's physics. It has nothing to do with AGI...


In  private communication one of the ANPA founders told me that at one time
there were as many as 400 distinct ways of measuring the fine structure
constant -- all theoretically related.

As with a recent controversy over the anomalous g-factor or the proton
radius, the assumptions underlying these theoretic relations can go
unrecognized until enough, what is called, "tension" arises between theory
and observation.  At that point people may get  serious about doing what
they should have been doing from the outset:

Compiling the measurements in a comprehensive data set and subjecting it to
what amounts to algorithmic information approximation.

This should, in fact, be the way funding is allocated: Going only to those
theorists that improve the lossless compression of said dataset.

A huge part of the problem here is a deadlock into a deadly embrace between
scientists need for funding and the politics of funding:

1) Scientists rightfully complain that there isn't enough money available
to "waste" on such objective competitions since it is *really* hard work,
including both human and computation work that is very costly.

2) Funding sources, such as NSF, don't plow money into said prize
competitions (as Matt suggested the NSF do for a replacement for the Turing
Test with compression clear back in 1999)
<https://gwern.net/doc/cs/algorithm/information/compression/1999-mahoney.pdf>
because
all they hear from scientists is that such prize competitions can't work --
(not that they can't work because of a lack of funding).

There, is, of course, the ethical conflicts of interest involving:

1) Scientists that don't want to be subjected to hard work in which their
authority is questioned by some objective criterion.

2) Politicians posing as competent bureaucrats who don't want an objective
way of dispensing science funding because that would reduce their degree of
arbitrary power.

Nor is any of the above to be taken to mean that AGI is dependent on this
approach to such pure number derivation of natural science parameters.

But there *is* reason to believe that principled and rigorous approaches to
the natural sciences may lead many down the path toward a more effective
foundation for mathematics -- a path that I described in the OP.  This may,
in turn, shed light on the structure of the empirical world that Bertrand
Russell lamented lacked due to the failure of his Relation Arithmetic to
take root and, in fact, be supplanted by Tarski's travesty called "model
theory".

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