On 12/07/2012 05:03 PM, Matt Mahoney wrote:
> Was there a mistake in my math?


consider the first line
"In 2011, we paid people worldwide US $70 trillion to do work that machines did not know how to do."

Isn't that more like global GDP?

I don't believe that's what we pay humans for their work. Every time a ship moves oil from one coast to another GDP goes up. When machines turn out stuff on an automated assembly line, this contributes to GDP. I believe it's a mistake to think what humans exchange for goods and services is the same as what replacing the human effort is worth.

For example, a large copper mine may produces millions of dollars in revenue's for the owners, but most of the "work" was done by large machines. The "intelligence" of the machine operators is not worth much compared to what the machines ALREADY contribute.

Deeper analysis is needed if you want to predict what replacing the humans might be worth.

2 cents

Stan


On 12/07/2012 05:03 PM, Matt Mahoney wrote:
Was there a mistake in my math?


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