Matt,

> That is an interesting parallel to AGI. Not just because the payoff is
> so huge, but also because (I believe) the level of difficulty is about
> the same. A few people in each field believe that the problem can be
> solved in one fell swoop by a stunning breakthrough. But the majority
> of investment goes into making small incremental improvements, such as
> a better way to automate a factory process, or a better way to treat a
> disease. People are skeptical of a grand solution because if it were
> simple then someone should have figured it out by now.

You are arguing against a straw man here -- a common habit of yours ;p

Aubrey, whose link I posted, does not believe the problem of aging will be
solved in one fell swoop by a sudden breakthrough.  He believes that aging
is a complex problem that will require multiple coordinated breakthroughs, and
would like to see work funded on multiple relevant fronts:

http://sens.org/sens-research/research-themes

The analogy with AGI is, roughly:

-- You are arguing that the best approach to longevity research is
"biopharma as usual"

-- Aubrey is arguing that lots of funding specifically on the
longevity problem, would work much better and faster

and also

-- You are arguing that the best approach to AGI is "narrow AI as usual"

-- I am arguing that lots of funding specifically on AGI, would work
much better and faster

...

-- Ben G


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