I am in favour of all kinds of Products on top of the current AGI
codebases, as opposed to Ben who has OKed only some kinds of Products. But
I see no place for a Minimum Viable Product as scalability is they key
unknown of search space algorithms, if I may call it that. Perhaps Siri is
a brilliant NLP assistant or Siri 3 will be a brilliant NLP assistant,
mastering 1000 words, but as I have pointed out before, by no means being
the first one to say so, full-blown language depends on a constant
goertzelification, constantly redefining words and occasionally creating
new ones, trying to produce a tight fitting film over a much more expansive
reality, a bit like the rubber case for your smartphone. Reaching out to
the millions of words and meanings and uses and deciding which ones will do
the trick or which ones to modify to do the trick, well, even in terms of
parallel programming and complexity metrics is a bit of a nightmare. I do
believe however  that the products will show the way, just like I expect
robotics with their cumbersome dancing routines and other human-inspired
but limited and primitive repertoires to slowly but inexorably advance
towards MVP-like states and beyond. Especially by focusing on the
*transitions* between repertories or domains etc, for example imagine how
well a chatbot would do if it could appropriately and seamlessly transition
between certain dialogue modes like "me", "wikipedia", "joke",
"arithmetic", "common sense" - it would probably pass the Turing test
already.

I was going to jump the gun and say I know what is not an MVP for AGI,
"machine vision would not be an MVP", but then I had to remind myself that
in my very own analysis a human level vision system would probably need to
ask itself questions such as "could it be that there is an irregularly
shaped black and white table partially obstructing a black and white cat?"
in order to do visual object recognition. I cannot prove that the
compositionality inherent in machine vision is of the same order as the
compositionality/productivity of natural language or that of "physical
existence" (meaning the compositionality offered by the material world
itself once you actually interact with it, with its tremendous potential
for emergence/surprise, such as getting an electric shock by touching the
millionth piece of metal you encountered while all the previous touches
gave no such shock). I think it would be OK if machine vision is an order
magnitude below the complexity of language too, it would still be an MVP
and quite a formidable one!

Although my terminology is a bit more standard than the acrobatics of our
usual suspects on this list, I am perfectly aware the intuitions will not
be clear to the majority of AGIers, and certainly they are intuitions that
relate weakly to a lot of academic but "unreal" AGI like Hutter's. I will
try to see if watching Hofstadter can equip us with a few updated, powerful
shared terms/metaphors, but at the end of the day the intuitions are for
those who understand them and are willing and able to do three things:
build, build, build!

AT



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