Prediction is part of a blend across a spectrum. For example creativity has
an element of prediction. 

 

Then there's the narrow AI prediction verses the AGI cross-spectrum
integrated prediction. A cohesive prediction.

 

In these discussions "prediction" is often singled out like "compression" or
"natural language" or "object recognition".  Though in an AGI there may be
subsystems that use this narrow AI prediction but again I think a more
cohesive synergistic system would have prediction integrated.

 

To me prediction is calculating potential energy in a subgraph chain of
what-ifs. the greatest potential energy has the likeliest outcome.

 

John

 

From: Piaget Modeler via AGI [mailto:[email protected]] 



 

Omoshiroi no...  

 

Jeff Hawkins thinks Prediction is the key, Douglas Hofstadter thought
Analogy is the key...

 

Perhaps we get all these keys and unlock something....

 

~PM

> Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2014 08:03:27 +0800
> Subject: Re: [agi] What's preventing me from doing this AGI thing?
> From: [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> 
> To: [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> 
> 
> It's clear that prediction is one of the important capabilities that
> an AGI needs to have
> 
> What's less clear is whether it's productive to view predictive as
> **the core** cognitive functionality of human-level intelligence, as
> Jeff Hawkins and others have suggested
> 
> -- Ben G
> 
> On Thu, Nov 27, 2014 at 7:37 AM, Matt Mahoney via AGI <[email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]> > wrote:
> > On Wed, Nov 26, 2014 at 6:10 AM, Logan Streondj via AGI <[email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]> > wrote:
> >> prediction and AGI have almost nothing in common.
> >> I don't know why people here are so stuck up on it.
> >
> > You are able to catch a ball because you can predict how it will move.
> > You are able to get to work on time because you predict that when you
> > set your alarm clock that it will wake you up in the morning and you
> > can predict how long it will take to get there after you wake up. You
> > are able to understand my words because you can predict a large
> > fraction of them and only need to remember the differences. Just
> > because you aren't consciously aware of your own thought processes
> > doesn't mean you don't think.
> >
> > --
> > -- Matt Mahoney, [email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]> 
> >
> >
> > -------------------------------------------
> > AGI
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> 
> 
> -- 
> Ben Goertzel, PhD
> http://goertzel.org
> 
> "The reasonable man adapts himself to the world: the unreasonable one
> persists in trying to adapt the world to himself. Therefore all
> progress depends on the unreasonable man." -- George Bernard Shaw
> 
> 






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