Even though Watson-Jeopardy did not use Neural Networks or something
that was intuitively similar to them, I believe it was an example of
deep learning. But the question that many of us are more interested in
is was it an example of Narrow AI? My first response is that it is not
because it can be applied to such a wide range of problems (even out
of the box-or out of the virtual box). So then, why isn't it AGI? Why
can't it think outside the box? Why does it not demonstrate the traits
of what I call semi-strong AI? This question bothered me but I think I
finally have figured it out.

Part of the answer is that it (probably) is not very good at what I
call Conceptual Integration. But that does not really answer the
question adequately.

I think they were able to eliminate the Frame Problem because the
Jeopardy system was explicitly designed for Q&A. The relevancy problem
(a form of the frame problem) occurs because most questions can lead
to a combinatorial explosion of possibilities. But by focusing on
specific kinds of questions which have distinctive characteristics
they could eliminate many kinds of open ended questions.

For example, is it likely that I will create an actual AI program
(that does something novel) or is it unlikely?  Right now I can't
answer that question. Not only is an open ended question but it is
also a question which does not have a well-defined answer path.
However, I could make long arguments supporting either possibility. I
think I noted this a few years ago but a Jeopardy question has to have
a historical, encyclopedic or journalistic entry to support it. When
you look at Watson's second choices to its questions many of them
seemed to be surprisingly irrelevant.

But the Q&A frame really does not narrow the question about why it
worked sufficiently. Extensive knowledge about NLP, both from earlier
sources and derived by the analysis of text is also necessary.

So I think that Watson is not Narrow AI but its success depended on
its application to narrow kinds of problems.

This analysis may be superficial but it gives me some insight about
what I want to work on. I will probably end up developing a semi-AI
program that can endlessly ruminate on my thoughts about some subject.
Jim Bromer


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AGI
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