Not at all: Coherency in the sense of de Finetti, regarding reasonably complex everyday situations, is out of reach for humans as well as for modest-resources AGIs...

The dramatic probabilistic incoherency of humans is demonstrated by human behavior in casinos. But, even if AGIs aren't that stupid, they won't be able to achieve complete probabilistic coherence on complex domains.

-- Ben



On Feb 7, 2007, at 10:44 AM, gts wrote:

On Tue, 06 Feb 2007 20:02:11 -0500, Ben Goertzel <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

Consistency in the sense of de Finetti or Cox is out of reach for a modest-resources AGI, in principle...

Sorry to be the one to break the news...

You used the word "consistency" instead of the word "coherency" that I was using, but assuming you mean them as synonyms, and assuming you're correct, then I think that really is terrible news for AGI and I wonder why you're even bothering with it.

Coherency in the De Finetti sense is not very much different from coherency as the word is used in normal conversation, as when evaluating the words and mental states of people. Incoherent people are in worse shape than stupid. We put incoherent people in psychiatric facilities.

-gts


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