http://www.boomantribune.com/story/2005/11/20/12242/343

John Goetz has been working on the Curveball story for a long time 
now. It is published today in the Los Angeles Times.

I am proud to say that I did what I could to help him and his partner 
Bob Drogin with this.

This story is a massive piece of the jigsaw puzzle that only now is 
beginning to be solved for the benefit of the understanding of the 
American people as to why they are now at war in Iraq.

The war in Afghanistan is easy to understand. That Kiplingesque, far 
away, tribal land was made into a haven and breeding ground for 
enemies determined to harm us. Only the truly pacifist have many 
doubts about the necessity that caused US intervention there.

Iraq is a different matter. In the case of Iraq, the US went to war 
because the American people became convinced that Iraq was a direct 
threat to the American homeland. They were convinced of that through 
an artfully orchestrated campaign of half-truths which used evidence 
from dubious sources to make the case for Iraq as a threat to the US. 
Paul Wolfowitz admitted as much in public when he said (paraphrasing) 
that WMD was sold to the American people as a threat because it COULD 
be sold and that nothing else would serve to take us to war.

CURVEBALL, the Iraqi source of the German intelligence (BND) became an 
essential element in the campaign of distorted and manipulated 
information. CURVEBALL was a fraud. The Germans said they did not 
believe him. DIA said they did not believe him, but the Bush 
Administration evidently did believe him. Why? They believed because 
they wanted to believe.

Goetz and Drogin's story in the Los Angeles Times lays out the sad 
story of incompetence and deception which centers, at least in part, 
around this man.

Some samples from the article:



**************************************************************************

  "The German intelligence officials responsible for one of the most 
important informants on Saddam Hussein's suspected weapons of mass 
destruction say that the Bush administration and the CIA repeatedly 
exaggerated his claims during the run-up to the war in Iraq. Five 
senior officials from Germany's Federal Intelligence Service, or BND, 
said in interviews with The Times that they warned U.S. intelligence 
authorities that the source, an Iraqi defector code-named Curveball, 
never claimed to produce germ weapons and never saw anyone else do 
so."
  "Curveball's German handlers for the last six years said his 
information was often vague, mostly secondhand and impossible to 
confirm. "This was not substantial evidence," said a senior German 
intelligence official. "We made clear we could not verify the things 
he said." The German authorities, speaking about the case for the 
first time, also said that their informant suffered from emotional and 
mental problems. "He is not a stable, psychologically stable guy," 
said a BND official who supervised the case. "He is not a completely 
normal person," agreed a BND analyst."

  "The senior BND officer who supervised Curveball's case said he was 
aghast when he watched Powell misstate Curveball's claims as a 
justification for war. "We were shocked," the official said. "Mein 
Gott! We had always told them it was not provenÂ…. It was not hard 
intelligence." In a telephone interview, Powell said that George J. 
Tenet, then the director of central intelligence, and his top deputies 
personally assured him before his U.N. speech that U.S. intelligence 
on the mobile labs was "solid." Since then, Powell said, the case "has 
totally blown up in our faces.""

  "CIA officials now concede that the Iraqi fused fact, research he 
gleaned on the Internet and what his former co-workers called "water 
cooler gossip" into a nightmarish fantasy that played on U.S. fears 
after the Sept. 11 attacks. Curveball's motive, CIA officials said, 
was not to start a war. He simply was seeking a German visa."

  ""The Iraqis were adept at feeding us what we wanted to hear," said 
a former official of the Pentagon's Defense Intelligence Agency who 
helped debrief about 50 Iraqi emigres in Germany before the war. "Most 
of it was garbage.'' "

  "On Feb. 5, 2003, Powell told the packed U.N. chamber that his 
account was based on "solid sources" and "facts and conclusions based 
on solid intelligence." "We thought maybe they had the smoking gun," 
recalled the BND supervisor, who watched Powell on TV. "My gut feeling 
was the Americans must have so much from reconnaissance planes and 
satellites, from infiltrated spotter teams from Special Forces, and 
other systems. We thought they must have tons of stuff." Instead, 
Powell emphasized Curveball's "eyewitness" account, calling it "one of 
the most worrisome things that emerge from the thick intelligence 
file.""

  ""Powell's speech failed to sway many diplomats, but it had an 
immediate impact in Baghdad. "The Iraqis scoured the country for 
trailers," said a former CIA official who helped interrogate Iraqi 
officials and scientists in U.S. custody after the war. "They were in 
real panic mode. They were terrified that this was real, and they 
couldn't explain it." An explanation was available within days, but 
U.S. officials ignored it. On Feb. 8, three days after Powell's 
speech, the U.N.'s Team Bravo conducted the first search of 
Curveball's former work site. The raid by the American-led biological 
weapons experts lasted 3 1/2 hours. It was long enough to prove 
Curveball had lied." "U.N. teams also raided the other sites Curveball 
had named. They interrogated managers, seized documents and used 
ground-penetrating radar, according to U.N. reports. The U.N. 
inspectors "could find nothing to corroborate Curveball's reporting," 
the CIA's Iraq Survey Group reported last year. On March 7, 2003, Hans 
Blix, the chief U.N. inspector, told the Security Council that a 
series of searches had found "no evidence" of mobile biological 
production facilities in Iraq. It drew little notice at the time."

  "One CIA-led unit investigated Curveball himself. The leader was 
"Jerry," a veteran CIA bio-weapons analyst who had championed 
Curveball's case at the CIA weapons center. They found Curveball's 
personnel file in an Iraqi government storeroom. It was devastating. 
Curveball was last in his engineering class, not first, as he had 
claimed. He was a low-level trainee engineer, not a project chief or 
site manager, as the CIA had insisted. Most important, records showed 
Curveball had been fired in 1995, at the very time he said he had 
begun working on bio-warfare trucks. A former CIA official said 
Curveball also apparently was jailed for a sex crime and then drove a 
Baghdad taxi. Jerry and his team interviewed 60 of Curveball's family, 
friends and co-workers. They all denied working on germ weapons 
trucks. Curveball's former bosses at the engineering center said the 
CIA had fallen for "water cooler gossip" and "corridor conversations." 
"The Iraqis were all laughing," recalled a former member of the survey 
group. "They were saying, 'This guy? You've got to be kidding.' "Jerry 
tracked down Curveball's Sunni Muslim parents in a middle-class 
Baghdad neighborhood. "Our guy was very polite," Kay recalled. "He 
said, 'We understand your son doesn't like Americans.' His mother 
looked shocked. She said, 'No, no! He loves Americans.' And she took 
him into [her son's] bedroom and it was filled with posters of 
American rock stars. It was like any other teenage room. She said one 
of his goals was to go to America."The deeper Jerry probed, the worse 
Curveball looked."

  ****************************************************************************

  We were made fools of. By whom? Is it not obvious?

  Take note:

  The Iraqi government was frightened and surprised by Powell's 
assertions at the UN about mobile bio-weapons production facilities. 
They searched the country looking for whatever it was we were talking 
about. they seem to have been afraid that there was something going on 
that they did not know about.

  We should all be ashamed in this country. We should be ashamed that 
we are so childish and easily manipulated that CURVEBALL's supposed 
story and that of all the other shoddy sources and rumor mongers were 
so easily "sold" to us by a band of political extremists. Our 
gullibility raises the issue of our collective worthiness to be the 
sovereigns of the commonweal of whom Jefferson wrote.

  Pat Lang



  xponent

  No Comment Maru

  rob


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