On Sep 23, 2008, at 8:00 PM, Kevin B. O'Brien wrote:

> Dan M wrote:
>> The problem was that no-one (including the board of directors of  
>> AIG knew
>> that AIG was insolvent until the day the government intervened.   
>> Bubbles and
>> panics are part of the nature of the market.  You can repeat your  
>> mantra of
>> free markets are perfect until you are blue in the face, but AIG  
>> was the
>> biggest insurance company in the world and no one had any idea of  
>> their
>> problems
> There is a management consultant named Bob Lewis who puts out a weekly
> newsletter I get that illustrated the problem very neatly.
>
> Set up a spreadsheet so that cell A1 has the formula "=B1 +1". Then go
> to cell B1 and enter the formula "=A1+1".
>
> Now, most decent spreadsheet programs will not let you get away with
> this circular reference, but an unregulated market can. Essentially,  
> it
> all came down to a shell game where everyone was insuring each others
> risks, and then convincing themselves that they had laid off the risk
> this way.

::facepalm::


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