Not just sociology. A couple of things to consider that may be relevant. First off people's reports of their behavior and their actual behavior only matched some of the time. Also, how people respond to questionnaires is fairly sensitive to their perceptions of what the person thinks he's being asked and what he perceives what the person asking the questions purposes are. So its possible that what people said how they voted to a pollster and how they actually voted may have been substantially different. This been one of those times where any misaligment in the voting and exit polls data is simply due to noise factors.
larry On Sun, 14 Nov 2004 12:49:22 -0500, Michael Dinowitz <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > There are sociological studies that show that people will lie when put on > the spot about a choice that is seen as socially rejected. Where I work, the > anti-Bush sentiment is so strong that anyone short of me would lie about who > they voted for due to social/peer pressure. I'm not saying that the there > was not foul play, I'm saying that for every study used to say that exit > polls are correct, there are others that show that they have the chance of > not being (a greater chance then mentioned below that is). > Should there be checks on all states where the exit polls differed greatly > from the actual numbers? I don't see why not. On the other hand, don't be > surprised if the numbers come out as correct, especially in middle America. > > > > Robert wrote: > > > There is no legitimate data suggesting anything other than a lot of > > wishful thinking > > > > There is a scientific study from the University of Pennsylvania that says: > > > > 1.) Exit polls are so scientifically accurate that they're used to > > audit elections around the world, and, > > 2.) The mathematical odds of 3 states' exit polls being off by such a > > huge margin is 1 in 250,000,000. > > > > Essentially that says the results of the 2004 election have a 1 in 250 > > million chance of being right. > > > > That should be enough to concern any democrat ( <- small 'd'). > > > > You can say we should check their math, and we should, but if the math > > is right I'd say we better check our ballots. > > > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Special thanks to the CF Community Suite Gold Sponsor - CFHosting.net http://www.cfhosting.net Message: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=i:5:135845 Archives: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/threads.cfm/5 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=s:5 Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=89.70.5 Donations & Support: http://www.houseoffusion.com/tiny.cfm/54
