> Denny wrote: > Does math prove that just by counting, we're changing the outcome, or > am I conflating different maths? >
The point Dana and Robert are making relates to independent events, e.g., each flip of a coin. In that case, each flip is it's own event with the same probability of the "favorable" outcome. The trick comes in when you want to string multiple events together; or dependent events. When you do this your odds decrease. E.g., Here's the probability table for flipping successive heads in a row: 1/2, 1/4, 1/8, 1/16, 1/32, ..., 1/1024 for 10 heads in a row. As you can see, flipping 10 heads in a row is extremely unlikely. The principle is exactly the same for, say, car accidents. A person has much better odds of being accident for 1 day in a row, then, say, 1000. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Introducing the Fusion Authority Quarterly Update. 80 pages of hard-hitting, up-to-date ColdFusion information by your peers, delivered to your door four times a year. http://www.fusionauthority.com/quarterly Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/CF-Community/message.cfm/messageid:220461 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/CF-Community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=89.70.5
