> RoMunn wrote:
> I knew I liked her for a reason:

Your tenacity is inspiring, but I'm wondering what about GW you're
trying to prove.  Because it's not going to be anything.

The simple fact is that:

1.) Correlation does not equal causation.

2.) There is enough statistical data to label GW as a intra-decade
trend, but whether this exceeds common-cause variation or is special
cause is not known (see point #1).

3.) We can act on our best guess which, if right, will have an impact
of unknown scale: it may save our lives or it may not.

Use this analogy:
------------------------------
You're 1000 miles from the nearest land and your boat has burned to
the water line, but still floats.  You've got a life raft w/ oars,
some rations, some signaling items, and some survival items.  Do you
leave the wreck or not?

Statistically you're more likely to die if leave, but you can't live
on the wreck forever either.  So do you act given the low probability
of success or do you follow the odds, but knowing that if you're wrong
you'll certainly die?

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