Let me complete your analogy:

Al Gore is on a boat right next to you shouting: GET OFF THE BOAT NOW OR YOU
WILL DIE TOMORROW!!!!!!

He's inflating statistics and playing up worst case scenarios to convince
you to get off the boat. Even though he may ultimately be correct, all he's
really doing is pissing you off and distracting you from the decisions you
are trying to make.

On 4/11/07, Gruss Gott <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> Use this analogy:
> ------------------------------
> You're 1000 miles from the nearest land and your boat has burned to
> the water line, but still floats.  You've got a life raft w/ oars,
> some rations, some signaling items, and some survival items.  Do you
> leave the wreck or not?
>
> Statistically you're more likely to die if leave, but you can't live
> on the wreck forever either.  So do you act given the low probability
> of success or do you follow the odds, but knowing that if you're wrong
> you'll certainly die?
>
> 

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