On Mon, Dec 7, 2009 at 9:14 PM, Gruss G wrote: > > > > So you think temperature readings - recorded history from a zillion > sources - since 1880 are suspect? > > Ah, but that's exactly the point. All of a sudden we go from "knowing" the temperature record for thousands of years to "knowing" the temperature record for roughly 130 years- less than a blink of an eye in geological terms.
Here is the bigger picture: let's say the estimates of 1-6 degrees in temperature increase if we do nothing to prevent CO2 accumulation are accurate. The dirty secret of that prediction is not what they tell you, but what they don't tell you, which is that they have no way to predict the "baseline" temperature from which these estimates would vary. Why does that matter? Forecasters can't guess what the temperature is going to be like five years from now, forget fifty or a hundred years from now. We could have a two degree increase on a baseline that is ten degrees colder than now - or ten degrees warmer. When the climate geniuses can predict the baseline five or ten years out, then I will listen to what they have to say. Until then, they are blowing hot air. Bada bing! ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Want to reach the ColdFusion community with something they want? Let them know on the House of Fusion mailing lists Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/message.cfm/messageid:309199 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=89.70.5
