Oh, and I forgot the follow up article where the original study author responds to Nate and there is some further discussion about research design:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/04/veronique-de-rugy-responds-to-critique.html And while I still think it was a hack job, I should note that I really appreciate that the author of the study responded to Nate's criticism. I don't think much of the study, but the behavior is certainly classy. Cheers, Judah On Thu, Apr 1, 2010 at 10:33 PM, Judah McAuley <ju...@wiredotter.com> wrote: > Just wanted to follow up on this issue since I happened across an > analysis on Nate Silver's site. I mentioned at the beginning that I > hoped that he'd look into the data and I was glad that he did. > > http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/04/study-claiming-link-between-stimulus.html > > In summary, as I suspected, it was a really crappy statistical > analysis. And that is putting it politely. It turns out that the top > 18 districts listed as receiving stimulus money are state capitols. > Essentially, their "district" was credited as receiving the funds when > really the funds were distributed to the state and then spent on a > variety of projects across the state. And it just so happens that the > capitol cities of the most populous states in America are represented > largely by Democrats. > > So, yeah, totally bogus "study" that was at best is a novice attempt > at data analysis and, more likely given the source, just a Republican > talking point. > > Blech. > > Judah > > On Sun, Mar 28, 2010 at 8:26 AM, Jerry Johnson <jmi...@gmail.com> wrote: >> >> I love the fact that the numbers are available via recovery.org, though. >> >> I hope that is a trend that is not undone by the next administration. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Want to reach the ColdFusion community with something they want? Let them know on the House of Fusion mailing lists Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/message.cfm/messageid:314830 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/unsubscribe.cfm