On Thu, Apr 22, 2010 at 5:41 PM, Jerry Barnes <critic...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> I'm just not seeing the tea-party movement becoming the militant wing of the
> Republic party, myself.

The point there, I think, was really about whether they would stay
part of the Republican Party or be 3rd party. Nate Silver's site had
an interesting analysis on the similarities and differences between
Ross Perot's 3rd party run and the current Tea Party movement. One of
the big differences was that Ross Perot garnered a significant
percentage of his voters from Republicans, Democrats and Independents.
The Tea Party gathers most of its support, thus far, from disaffected
Republicans with some Independents and almost no Democrats. So if the
Tea Party starts running a 3rd party slate, the potential drain would
be more heavy on Republicans than it would Democrats. That may change
of course.

The two major parties have a vested interest in keeping it a two party
system. In order to do so, however, they have to keep their splinter
groups under control. Democrats have run into this with Ralph Nader
and the Green Party. Republicans are wrestling with it now with the
Tea Party and some national leaders that could go either way, like
Sarah Palin and Michelle Bachmann. I'll be curious to see how it goes
and whether 3rd party candidates with some appeal on both sides of the
aisle, like Ron Paul, get back into the mix as they sense a fractured,
anti-establishment electorate.

Cheers,
Judah

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