Another analysis of Romney's tax plan by the Third Way, a moderate non
partisan think tank:

http://www.thirdway.org/publications/597

Governor Romney’s tax plan contains nearly $5 trillion in specific tax
cuts over ten
years. The Governor has also said his plan will not add to the
deficit. To date he has
only proposed one specific policy to make up the lost revenue—capping itemized
deductions. However, our analysis finds that this proposal falls well short of
making the Romney tax plan revenue-neutral.

Romney first suggested a $17,000 cap two weeks ago. Last week he said the cap
would only be $25,000 or $50,000. We ran the numbers on all three versions and
found that the cap only generates, at most, less than one-fourth of the revenue
needed to be revenue-neutral.

Specifically, the $17,000 cap would generate $1.0 trillion over 10
years, the $25,000
cap would generate $730 billion, and the $50,000 cap would generate
$390 billion.
What does this mean? Romney’s most recent proposal, for a $25,000 or $50,000
cap, would bring in only one-sixth to one-tenth the revenue needed.
Each version of
the Romney plan falls well short of the promise he made to keep his
tax plan revenueneutral. Based on our calculations, Governor Romney
needs to find up to $4 trillion in
additional revenue to make his numbers work.


Estimates of the size of the Romney tax cut vary. The Tax Policy
Center estimates a $456 billion loss
in 2015. See Samuel Brown, William Gale, and Adam Looney, “On the
Distributional Effects of BaseBroadening Income Tax Reform,” report,
August 1, 2012. Available at:
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/publications/url.cfm?ID=1001628.

Third Way 10-year revenue estimates are based on 2015 estimates,
multiplied by 10 years.
Calculations are based on Tax Policy Center data. Calculations assume
that recouped taxable income,
for each quintile of taxpayers, would be taxed at 80% of that
quintile’s average marginal tax rate. See:
“Distribution of Itemized Deductions by Cash Income Percentile, 2011,”
Table, Tax Policy Center,
October 3, 2012. Available at:
http://taxpolicycenter.org/numbers/displayatab.cfm?DocID=3549.
Also see “Average Effective Marginal Income Tax Rates, Distribution by
Cash Income Percentile, 2011,” Table,
Tax Policy Center, October 30, 2009. Available at:
http://taxpolicycenter.org/numbers/displayatab.cfm?DocID=2503&topic2ID=150&topic3ID=160&DocT

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