> -----Original Message----- > From: Mark Smyth [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]] > Sent: Monday, December 23, 2002 9:55 AM > To: CF-Community > Subject: RE: Microsoft plots Macromedia coup against Java > > > if neither of them are actually commenting on it, doesn't > that mean somethings going on?
Or that "Industry and analyst sources" are (yet again) wrong. Those "Industry and analyst sources" have been saying a lot lately... MS will buy Rational, MS will buy Borland, MS will buy Corel, MS will buy MM, etc. It's really a crap shoot - they look at the market and make semi-informed predictions. Like any fortune teller the predictions are taken seriously only so long as they come true... The misses are forgotten. In this case it seems like the thrust is to assume that MS wants extend itself into the graphics/design and enterprise development arenas. Rational/Borland would give them enterprise visualization/tracking/development/etc tools and companies like Corel/Macromedia (I've even heard JASC rumored) would give them graphic design tools. It's a case of "MS doesn't have that? Then they much want it.". It's also a chicken-and-the-egg problem: does MS seek to buy these companies and so generate analyst buzz or does analyst buzz convince MS to seek to buy these companies? This kind of rumor would also be fueled by the undercurrent lately claiming that MM is poised to become "the next big thing". The basic story is that MM will be able to leverage it's dominance with the Flash player coupled with it's new enterprise MX line to place itself at the "MS/Sun/IBM" level of competition. Whenever a company is poised like that accquisition rumors fly. So I think that I'll just wait and see. My guess (consider me an "industy analyst") is that if MS makes an offer it would be countered by somebody else (perhaps Sun) or challenged/blocked by the DOJ into a non-issue. I then predict that MS will take advantage Flash's open format and try to outdo MM at their own game by creating a .Net application to generate advanced Flash content. After all MM makes no money on the Flash player, only tools, and since the spec is open competition in the tools market could be fierce. Just a thought. Jim Davis ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Archives: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/index.cfm?forumid=5 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/index.cfm?method=subscribe&forumid=5 Get the mailserver that powers this list at http://www.coolfusion.com Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=89.70.5
