>   Opinion aside, that wonderful financial bliss you sustained 
> under Clinton  began in 1982 with Ronald Reagan's tax cut. If 
> you don't believe me, go and  look at the growth rate for the 
> Dow. From 1901 till 1982, it's a  slow, steady increase. In 
> 1982, that growth rate takes a tremendous spike  upward and 
> follows that same level of growth all the way through the 
> Clinton  years. There's a graph on this page, scroll down 
> near the bottom:

That's actually a little myopic.  The DOW is a good indicator, but not a
great one when considering broad historic trends and is pretty much
useless in determining cause.  In general the market has enjoyed nearly
constant growth since the end of the depression regardless of whose in
office or which party is in control.

Of course even if you claim that Clinton's economy was the result of
Reagan you could also say that Reagan's was the result of Carter or
Ford.  But there's really no reason to: there are too many economic
indicators (I think) to place direct blame on an administration.  The
fact is that every president blames a poor economy on their predecessor
and takes credit for a good economy.

The late 70's and 80's were a boon for manufacturing as we entered a
rabid disposable phase of productization.  Prepackaged foods took off
like wildfire.  New technologies (the VCR, CD-player, Cable TV, etc)
created much more entertainment spending.  Socially the 80's were much
more materialistic than many other periods in history (a trend
continuing today).

One of the results of both the equal rights and the feminist movements
was that more people than ever were getting educated (and paying college
tuitions and aquiring debt) and entering the work force.
Suburbanization continued like gangbusters resulting in more car and
home purchases.  Baby boomers having kids of their own meant more
construction (for homes, services and schools for growing communities).

The technical and computer revolution meant a need for more trained
people.  People that were getting paid quite well.

None of this even begins to touch on the foreign situations at work
either.

By the same token I don't see how Jr Bush (or Clinton) could truly be
blamed for the current economic downturn which is clearly a result of an
unrealistic market.

The point is that regardless of the administration there are an enormous
number of indicators political, technological and social for economic
success or failure.  And you can't consider one in isolation as causal.

Jim Davis


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