More to the point, it's not really technical or political issues that are at
play. It's financial issues.  It's business.  What exactly do the providers
gain by migrating?  What new revenue streams?  Is there a business model in
place to justify the expense of migrating and maintaining two protocols in
the interim?   What's the ROI?

For example, people talk about how wonderful ipv6 is for eliminating the
need for NAT and how you can now give every device in the world its own
unique address.  But the crucial question is how exactly do the providers
benefit financially from all this?  Have customers demonstrated that they
are willing to pay extra to their provider for the ability to get a unique
global address for their refrigerator?  What's the evidence?   For a
carrier, migrating to a new protocol takes months, even years of proper
testing and validation, and that's a big expense.  What's the evidence that
there will be sufficient payback quickly enough to justify that expense?

I say all this not to rain on the parade of ipv6, but rather to inject a
tone of realism into the equation.  As Tom Nolle once said, carriers do not
make real expenditures based on hypothetical revenue streams.  You don't
just spend money on infrastructure based on the thin reed that you hope that
customers will come.  That's not the way carrier capex financing works these
days.    It's not 1999 anymore.




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