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http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A49390-2002Oct18.html

 A Region Running Scared?

 By Monte Reel
 On the eve of another weekend of postponed homecoming games, of protective postures 
at the gas pump, of barren public spaces, Steve Coleman had a question: Is the 
Washington region's collective response to the recent sniper killings -- a reaction 
that experts say is without precedent -- appropriate?

  Coleman, director of the nonprofit Washington Parks & People, reluctantly joined the 
list of those who canceled weekend events, his being a public movie screening at a 
park in Northeast Washington. He didn't want to, he said, but the city told him to do 
it.

  "I don't understand it," he said. "We didn't shut down after Sept. 11, and we've had 
hundreds of people killed every year in Washington by gunfire. I think administrators 
at schools are worried about liability, and the school lockdowns seem to be fueling 
the other decisions being made across the board."

  Even if few are going so far as to baldly suggest that the region is overreacting, 
Coleman isn't alone in questioning the continuing public response 2 1/2 weeks after 
the sniper began terrorizing the region. But those questions don't lend themselves to 
easy answers, say experts who study the effects of serial killings on communities. 
That's because this case -- and the subsequent public response -- are without 
precedent in recent U.S. history, they say.

  "The Boston Strangler, the Hillside Strangler, the Atlanta child murders, the Zodiac 
Killer, the coed murders at the University of Florida -- none of them were like this," 
said James A. Fox, a professor of criminology at Northeastern University in Boston, 
who has studied serial killings for 25 years. "The risk here is not restricted by any 
demographic characteristic, so everyone feels like a target. In Gainesville [at the 
University of Florida], for example, the victims were middle-class coeds, so it didn't 
have the broad impact. They didn't cancel football games there, because [the targets] 
wouldn't have fit the pattern. Here there is no pattern."

  And when anyone might be a target, taking cover is natural.

  "The normal reaction is to cower and hide, and people who don't have that reaction 
initially probably have more reason to question their response than those who do," 
said Barry Glassner, a professor of sociology at the University of Southern California 
and the author of the book "The Culture of Fear." "But that's just the initial 
reaction. At some point, the question becomes, 'Where do we go from here?' "

  The answer, he said, generally comes from leaders of area schools and local 
governments. Since the first sniper shooting Oct. 2, a sort of domino effect has 
spurred decision-makers: School systems have decided, in conference calls with law 
enforcement arranged through the Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments, to 
suspend all outdoor activities. Then day-care centers and youth soccer leagues have 
followed the lead of their public school systems, and smaller community groups have 
fallen into line.

  An example: When the Montgomery County school system announced that it would cancel 
all outdoor events this weekend, the city of Rockville consequently postponed an auto 
show, its weekly farmers' market and all recreation activities that take place 
outside. Rockville's historical society, in turn, canceled its annual house tour and 
antiques and crafts fair. Then organizers of an arts festival in Bethesda decided to 
pull the plug, too.

  And now, another domino is falling as others question the messages, intended or not, 
that the mass cancellations send.

  "You have a . . . situation where nobody wants to be the first to stand up and give 
the message, 'We're not going to allow you to intimidate us,' " said William O. 
Ritchie, a retired D.C. police deputy chief, who said his opinions don't necessarily 
reflect those of a security firm he now works for. Ritchie added, "The community as a 
whole is going to have to step up to the plate, along with some support from law 
enforcement, and go on with the rest of their lives."

  With a killer at large and the most recent slaying only days old, it could take a 
while before a suitable comfort level returns, Glassner said.

  In past cases in which a serial killer has terrorized a community, victims could 
generally be grouped into specific categories that excluded the majority of a 
community's residents. David Berkowitz, the "Son of Sam" killer in New York in the 
1970s, targeted dark-haired women and their escorts. Ted Bundy targeted female 
students. Wayne Williams targeted black children in the Atlanta area.

  "The unknown is what people fear most," said Louis Graham, chief deputy of the 
DeKalb County (Ga.) sheriff's department, who investigated the Atlanta child murders. 
"In our case, the governments were encouraging everyone to continue life in a normal 
way, and it was the individual families who were the ones who made changes. They 
stayed close to their kids and tried to protect them."

  Most serial killings in recent history also have progressed much more slowly than 
have the sniper shootings, in which 12 incidents -- nine of them fatal -- were 
reported in less than two weeks. The six murders committed by Berkowitz, conversely, 
stretched over 13 months. The more than two dozen Atlanta child murders attributed to 
Williams stretched over several years. The Boston Strangler killed 13 people in 18 
months from 1962 to 1964.

  The Zodiac Killer was the name given to a person who wrote to San Francisco 
newspapers in the late 1960s and early 1970s claiming to have killed more than 35 
people. Although that case prompted intense public concern -- police accompanied 
school buses in three counties around the Bay Area after a newspaper received threats 
of shootings and bombings on school buses -- the public's exposure to the case wasn't 
nearly as widespread as in this one.

  "Another difference is the media today," said Fox, who remembers when the Boston 
Strangler grabbed headlines in the days before 24-hour news coverage. "The Boston 
Strangler didn't attract the pervasive media attention. That's not going to calm fear. 
It's going to accentuate it."

  A community can calm its fears, Glassner said, by feeling that its residents have 
some control over their situation. That hasn't happened yet, he said, but it could as 
a little more time passes.

  "It's only when public opinion changes with regard to whether children should be in 
school that I would expect decision-makers to do something other than continuing a 
lockdown," Glassner said.

  This weekend, some schools are taking tentative first steps to resume outdoor 
activities. Montgomery County public schools, for example, plan a meeting Monday to 
discuss "ways in which some, if not all, of the outdoor sports can be resumed, with 
considerations being given to the availability of time and locations for sufficient 
practice sessions, as well as security, facilities, transportation, equipment and 
other factors."

  Some impatience with all the caution could be witnessed heading into the third 
weekend of sniper anxiety. In today's Washington Post, a parent of a student at 
Sidwell Friends School took out an advertisement in the Sports section that states, 
"Sorry, Sidwell Friends' homecoming is cancelled due to paranoia and bad judgment." 
The school, along with the visiting opponents, chose to cancel games scheduled for the 
weekend because of the sniper, though the homecoming dance will still be held.

  Several other events -- such as the Clarendon Days neighborhood celebration in 
Arlington -- will take place today as scheduled.

  "We felt like the community needed a place to bond and react, to feel out their 
emotions with other people," said Sona Virdi, executive director of the Clarendon 
Alliance, the community group organizing the event. "We'll all be cautious, but we 
didn't want to cancel."

  Coleman said that's the right approach.

  "The way you make streets safe is by occupying them," he said, "not by abandoning 
them."

   Staff writer Debbi Wilgoren contributed to this report.

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