I agree Jakub - but this sort of thing is so much fun and gets people easy kudos for being iconoclasts and revolutionaries its irresistible. Happens all the time. I've probably done it myself as have half the people on this list.
We can find much in the world to make the same rallying cry about. "The wheel should die! It's time for mag-lev cars!" or "Light switches should die! Their binary tyranny must be crushed by the freedom of dimmer knobs!". Every few years someone cries about how criminal it is software *still* is only 2D. This stuff always goes on, and it's mostly silly. Not entirely, but mostly. Most ideas in use in the world are old. That's because they were good ideas, got super successful (in the lingo, became "dominant designs"), and then through their extended success, we learned their flaws. The gasoline engine seemed great until recently, didn't it? The mice and the keyboard are dominant designs and dominant designs are hard to change (e.g. gas engines). Even if they have clear problems. Even if there is a design experts know is better. Look at the comedy of cramming micro/fold-out/virtual keyboards into cell-phones. The thing that's caving first is English, with text messaging creating its own dialect (cya, gtg, rolf, etc.) - change at the content level, not the UI for putting it in. Morse code is arguably easier to tap out on some cell phones than English, and has a uber-simple UI (one button!) but it requires learning that most people do not want to do. One conflict between design & innovation is this: we simultaneously believe design is about making things easier for people, but also want to see big changes happen. But innovation, especially big UI changes like, say, eliminating mice, or toolbars, or depending on gesture language, are major inconveniences to people simply trying to live their lives (as opposed to designers and early adopters who go out of their way to experience change). I'm not saying "Status Quo Forever!" but I am saying you need a lot more evidence of value than Tog or the guy from Gartner in the article offers (evidence I found in article was near zero) to make sweeping claims like they are. The Gartner guy says "revolution is three to five years off for mainstream business". Uh, ok. Ask him what percentage of his salary he'd put down as a bet for the coming of this revolution. I suspect zero. I'd be more convinced by someone at a gesture UI start-up pitching his wares, for at least he has some skin in the game - he has bet his company on the ideas he's selling. Consultants and experts for all their charms rarely have as much at stake in what they say (myself included). People advocating VR, 3D and Minority Report-ish UI as the dominant way for people to interact with machines typically fall into the same trap: lots of faith and coolness, but little evidence for how what they're offering makes anything important better, just different. Proof in the UX/design community for value is not hard to find - we have all the methods in the world for comparing two designs suited for the same task. But it's curious how little these methods are used in conjunction with talk of revolutions, paradigm shifts and other buzzwords. -Scott Scott Berkun www.scottberkun.com -----Original Message----- From: discuss-boun...@lists.interactiondesigners.com [mailto:discuss-boun...@lists.interactiondesigners.com] On Behalf Of Jakub Linowski Sent: Tuesday, December 30, 2008 5:17 AM To: disc...@ixda.org Subject: Re: [IxDA Discuss] Tog on Gestures will force the mouse intoretirement Somehow every time someone says the mouse will go on retirement I am not convinced. It's a seriously well designed product which has lasted for what, over 40 years? The mouse provides quite a bit of precision. Yes, perhaps it takes effort to learn, but with time people can move items around at pixel level detail which I doubt will be possible to do with fingers. Furthermore, when using the mouse the hand rests at a 90 degree angle and is supported by a desk, which suits longer working hours. Will people be able to move their fingers and wave their arms for 9 to 5, 5 days a week? Unlikely as it will require more physical energy. ________________________________________________________________ Welcome to the Interaction Design Association (IxDA)! To post to this list ....... disc...@ixda.org Unsubscribe ................ http://www.ixda.org/unsubscribe List Guidelines ............ http://www.ixda.org/guidelines List Help .................. http://www.ixda.org/help