Paul, Perhaps we are reading different literature. I have seen little to no evidence anywhere indicating that the warming trend is leveling off except by those who cherry-pick what data they would prefer to use to suit their end arguments.
This conversation thread began with some questions about local effects, and herein is a problem both in prediction and in explaining the situation to people. One of the most agreed upon predictions is for more variability in the climate. In a highly variable environment you can have a flat graph, but that represents absolutely nothing about what's going on. Negative ten and positive ten wind up with an average of zero, as to negative one and positive one. The number zero in both of those examples give no information about the situation resulting in that average. What people can expect is variability, a change in patterns, peculiar swings in temperature, rainfall, frost times, and wind events. Every-time there is a slightly colder month someplace certain people immediately crow about the falsehood of global warming, ignoring to forgetting to consider that what they are experiencing is merely a local variation in a much larger pattern. It reminds me of a news headline a while back along the lines of, "Half of New York Schools are Average." Yeah, that's what "average" means. Neil deGrasse Tyson calls this "fuzzy thinking" and I tend to agree. Neahga On Tue, Jul 3, 2012 at 12:33 PM, Paul Cherubini <mona...@saber.net> wrote: > This NOAA graph http://tinyurl.com/6ca5gzt shows global > mean temps have stabilized since 1998. That flattening of > > warming was not predicted by the anthropogenic warmists > to my knowledge. > > So we could be potentially be at the same point on that > graph as we we were in 1940-1945: i.e. looking at 20-30 > more years of relatively stabilized temperatures. > > If the anthropogenic warmists on this forum don't think it's > plausible we could be looking at 20-30 more years of relatively > stabilized temperatures, then please explain why the > flattening of the warming since 1998 was not predicted in > advance. Thanks. > > > Paul Cherubini > El Dorado, Calif. >
