we have to first separate out 2 things:

1. some test statistics are naturally (the way they work anyway) ONE sided 
with respect to retain/reject decisions

example: chi square test for independence ... we reject ONLY when chi 
square is LARGER than some CV ... to put a CV at the lower end of the 
relevant chi square distribution makes no sense

2. whether for our research hypothesis ... rejection of the null is 
something that makes sense to BE ABLE to do regardless if the evidence 
suggests that the effect is LESS than the null or MORE than the null

example: typical treatments could have positive or negative effects (even 
though obviously, we predict + effects) ... thus, when doing a typical two 
sample t test (if you are interested in differences in means) ... we make 
both an upper AND lower rejection region ... ie, two tailed TEST

but, in some cases, it might be totally unthinkable for one end of the 
statistical distribution to be "useful" in a given case ... say we have a 
weight loss regimen program ... consisting of diet and exercise ... and 
want to know if it works ... ie, people lose weight ... now, in this case 
(it could be) one might argue that it is difficult to conceptualize that 
the regimen would actually "cause" one to GAIN weight ... so, to put some 
rejection area on that end of the t distribution would seem silly ... thus, 
we might be able to make the case that it is perfectly legitimate to use a 
one tailed test in this case ... (done BEFORE hand of course ... not just 
after the fact because your 2 tailing approach failed to allow you to 
reject the null)



At 03:08 PM 3/13/01 +1300, Will Hopkins wrote:
>At 7:34 PM +0000 12/3/01, Jerry Dallal wrote:
>>Don't do one-tailed tests.
>
>If you are going to do any tests, it makes more sense to one-tailed 
>tests.  The resulting p value actually means something that folks can 
>understand:  it's the probability the true value of the effect is opposite 
>to what you have observed.



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