>try and give it some more >thought. All I honestly know is that my intuition tells me that the >fact this player got caught should be (it sems to me) a stong >indication that he probably cheated before.(The question was motivated >by a real-world experience).
I would think that the relevant question is more What's the probablility he'll cheat again? And that's more of a criminological question about recidivsm of card cheats than a statistics question. -- Gary Carson http://garycarson.com . . ================================================================= Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at: . http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ . =================================================================
