Interesting

I wonder how far this extends?  Could make an interesting paper in Ed
Psych or something.  e.g I think most adults could find the exact
average of 2 numbers where the differnce is 2.  How many could do it if
the difference were 4?  3?  6? 10?  My bet would be that a diff. of 10
would be easier for many than a diff. of 4, and that 3 would be much
harder.

Also, finding a center when the numbers are about equal seems easy;
what if they are a little spread out? Or a lot spread out?  What if you
asked a bunch of people to average

10 11 12 13 14   100,000

?

Peter

Peter L. Flom, PhD
Assistant Director, Statistics and Data Analysis Core
Center for Drug Use and HIV Research
National Development and Research Institutes
71 W. 23rd St
www.peterflom.com
New York, NY 10010
(212) 845-4485 (voice)
(917) 438-0894 (fax)



>>> [EMAIL PROTECTED] 2/20/2004 8:44:27 PM >>>
Which reminds me of a story. I gave a student two numbers (say, 376 and
378)
and asked him the average. He answered 377, quick as a flash. Then I
asked
him how he calculated the average, and he said, quick as a flash, add
the
numbers and divide by two. Then I asked him what was 376 + 378. He
couldn't
do that without pencil and paper.

So he wasn't adding the numbers. I thought for a while how he actually
did
figure out the average. I thought about the possibility that he
stripped off
the front numbers, added 6 + 8, divided by two, and then restored the
front
numbers. I don't think he knew math well enough to do that, or that he
could
do those calculations as quickly as he could know the average. Also, I
don't
think he would have had trouble with the average of 999 and 1001
(assuming
he knew they were two apart).

My memory is that this worked with several students, and anyway it
works on
me -- I can tell you the average of 376 and 378 without doing any
addition,
and the answer comes so fast it is not easy for me to know what I am
doing.

I think this generalizes to more numbers. If I give you a set like <62,
69,
72, 58, 64, 69, 61, 57> you can give me a rough estimate of the
average
without doing any addition. You have a lot of statistical expertise,
but I
think anyone could do it. Or at least anyone could do it if I asked
about
the center. If I graphed the numbers out, it would probably be even
easier.

So I guess I am talking about some very primitive ability to find the
center, somehow without adding. We call it average, fine, but that
might
disconnect average from the student's idea of center, and then when
average
is defined by a formula and the formula involves adding the numbers,
they
might think that the more numbers there are, the higher the average.


.
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