Prad's example might help explain some of the confusion:  coin flips are
easy examples to mention in class, and have the disconcerting
characteristic that they are BOTH independent (as regards successive
flips of the coin -- supposing one is not using a mechanical flipping
device that makes the process non-random!) AND mutually exclusive (as
regards any particular flip, which if heads cannot be tails).
  -- Don.

On Mon, 1 Mar 2004, prad s u wrote:

> On "mutual exclusive" and "independence" --
>
> Perhaps this may be useful (or not?):
>
> One can think of the two in terms of a coin flip, getting "heads" is
> mutually exclusive to getting a "tails" on any flip of the coin; yet,
> given that you know that a heads was obtained, you automatically know
> you don't have tails on that particular trial, i.e., extreme
> dependence, as I think you [Don] put it.
>
> if there are any flaws in my analogy, please do point them out, i'm
> interested to know -- it was quick and dirty.

< snip, my earlier post to which Prad was replying. -- DFB. >
 ------------------------------------------------------------
 Donald F. Burrill                              [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 56 Sebbins Pond Drive, Bedford, NH 03110      (603) 626-0816
.
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