I was wondering if anyone could help me with what is probably a fairly basic question.
I want to investigate the significance of head-to-head records of chess players, versus their ELO rating. In other words, does player A, who has lost 3 of 10 games to player B and 7 of 10 games to player C, have more of a chance of beating player B than player C, if their ELO ratings were all equal? The counter-theory would I suppose be that the head to head ratings will already be implicitly accounted for in the ELO ratings (along with games against all other opponents), and that it is the ELO rating that is therefore significant rather than the head-to-head rating. What sort of tests should I look to perform on a database of results to test this hypothesis? any help appreciated, with thanks in advance . . ================================================================= Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at: . http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ . =================================================================
