OK, here's one: Isn't this an incorrect use of the term 'random
process'?  As I understand this thread, what is being doubted is not
whether tossing a coin is random, but whether the probability of heads
is exactly 0.5.  From what I understand of the term (and others here
understand these things much better than I; I am a humble data analyst
with a PhD in psychometrics, and my math stats is not all that
extensive....), saying that it is not a random process would mean that
it was under someone's control.  Even if some coin came up heads only
40% of the time, it still might be random.

Or am I all wrong?

Peter

Peter L. Flom, PhD
Assistant Director, Statistics and Data Analysis Core
Center for Drug Use and HIV Research
National Development and Research Institutes
71 W. 23rd St
www.peterflom.com
New York, NY 10010
(212) 845-4485 (voice)
(917) 438-0894 (fax)



>>> [EMAIL PROTECTED] 2/27/2004 8:12:37 AM >>>
Shareef Siddeek wrote:
> In a local radio presentation, one mathematician has shown that
tossing 
> a coin is not always random. If one positions the head up when
tossing, 
> he/she will more likely end up with the head more than 50% (to be
exact 
> 51%) of the time. What do the stat gurus say about this?  Cheers.
Siddeek

I think that if the mathematician can do this repeatably with this 
coin, then I will be happy to believe it.

I guess I don't see any "statistical" issues here that "stat gurus" 
need to expound upon.

-- 
Paige Miller
Eastman Kodak Company
paige dot miller at kodak dot com
http://www.kodak.com 

"It's nothing until I call it!" -- Bill Klem, NL Umpire
"When you get the choice to sit it out or dance, I hope you dance" 
-- Lee Ann Womack

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