On Sun, Sep 14, 2025 at 8:25 PM John Clark <[email protected]> wrote:

> On Sat, Sep 13, 2025 at 7:49 PM Bruce Kellett <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>
>> *> This is to assume that in Everett's picture, each trial is effectively
>> a Bernoulli trial, with a probability of success p. This is not the case.
>> Since every outcome occurs on every Evettian trial, the process cannot be
>> seen as a Bernoulli trial.*
>>
>
> *You're making an implicit assumption that is usually harmless but not
> when you're talking about the nature of quantum reality. You are forgetting
> that a Bernoulli trial is not a Bernoulli trial unless the Bernoulli trial
> has been OBSERVED.  And every observer observes that only two outcomes are
> possible, the coin lands heads or the coin lands tails. And after many
> trials all the observers in the Multiverse deduce that the outcome of one
> trial does not influence the outcome of another trial. And all the
> observers in the Multiverse also deduce that the probability of heads and
> the probability of tails remains the same for every trial. And that is
> exactly what is required for something to be a Bernoulli trial.*
>

Which probability textbook did you get that out of?

Bruce

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