On 9/14/2025 3:25 AM, John Clark wrote:
On Sat, Sep 13, 2025 at 7:49 PM Bruce Kellett <[email protected]>
wrote:
/> This is to assume that in Everett's picture, each trial is
effectively a Bernoulli trial, with a probability of success p.
This is not the case. Since every outcome occurs on every Evettian
trial,the process cannot be seen as a Bernoulli trial./
*You're making an implicit assumptionthat is usually harmless but
_not_ when you're talking about the nature of quantum reality. You are
forgetting that a Bernoulli trialis not a Bernoulli trialunless the
Bernoulli trialhas been _OBSERVED_. And every observer observes that
only two outcomes are possible, the coin lands heads or the coin lands
tails. And after many trials all the observers in the Multiverse
deduce that the outcome of one trial does not influence the outcome of
another trial. And all the observers in the Multiversealso deduce that
the probability of heads and the probability oftailsremains the same
for every trial. And that is _exactly _what is required for something
to be a Bernoulli trial.*
A Bernoulli trial does not require that the probability of heads and
tails be equal. But Everett entails that on every trial there will be
an equal number of heads and tails across all worlds.
Brent
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