On Tue, Sep 16, 2025 at 1:05 AM Brent Meeker <[email protected]> wrote:

> * > John correctly  observes that he hasn't proposed branch counting, but
> requires that the Born rule attach probability weights to branches.  But
> he's wrong that nobody ever proposed branch counting.  Even Sean Carroll,
> an Everettian, discusses differential branching as a way to realize the
> Born rule.*
>

*I've read Sean Carroll's books and he does indeed discuss branch counting,
but then he goes on to explain why it WILL NOT WORK. See for yourself in a
paper that he wrote with Charles T. Sebens:*


*Self-Locating Uncertainty and the Origin of Probability in Everettian
Quantum Mechanics <https://arxiv.org/pdf/1405.7577>*

*Right there in the abstract they say "it is tempting to regard each branch
as equiprobable, but we give new reasons why that would be inadvisable".*

*And on page 14 of the article they say: *

*"It is tempting to think that the number of copies of Alice cannot change
without her physical state changing—this is the way things work in
classical physics. But, in Everettian quantum mechanics, changes that
purely affect her environment can change the number of copies of Alice in
existence"*

*And on page 17 they say: *

*"In this section we will derive the Born rule probabilities as the
rational assignment of credences post-measurement pre-observation. We will
first derive the rule in a case with two branches that have equal
amplitudes, then use similar techniques to treat a case with two branches
of unequal amplitude. It is straightforward to extend these methods to more
general cases  **(see appendix C)"*

*And finally, although they have two words in common, "differential branch
counting" is very different from naïve "branch counting". Instead of
discrete branches, in*
*differential branch counting the wave function of the Multiverse splits in
a way that is similar to a continuum. If it really is a continuum then it's
impossible to count them because there is literally an uncountable number
of universes. However you can group similar universes together in a
countable, and possibly finite, number of sets; in a previous post I made
the analogy of cutting a rope, which contains an infinite number of points,
into a finite number of pieces of rope of various lengths, putting the
pieces into a hat and then picking one out of that hat at random. If you
knew the number of cuts that were made and their length then you could
assign a probability of picking any particular piece out of that hat.   *

*If you want something that is never negative and always adds up to exactly
1, and is*
*additive (if you group together multiple branches then the total weight is
the sum of the individual weights) **then ∣ψ∣^2 is the only way to obtain a
probability. **Gleason’s theorem proves that in any dimension greater than
or equal to 3, the only probability measure that is compatible with the
structure of Hilbert space is the Born rule.*

*You can thus assign a measure over the branches, where the density of
branches corresponds to ∣ψ∣^2, you weigh them according to their
“thickness” or “differential weight” in Hilbert space. As I've mentioned
before, when I see a map of branching universes drawn on a 2D surface, I
imagine the line having a thickness determined by ∣ψ∣^2 because that is the
natural measure of Hilbert space; it's what makes Hilbert space be Hilbert
space. *

*John K Clark    See what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>*
hsb

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