2013/11/12 meekerdb <meeke...@verizon.net>

>  On 11/12/2013 12:45 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>
>
>
>
> 2013/11/12 meekerdb <meeke...@verizon.net>
>
>>  On 11/12/2013 12:23 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>>
>> This is ASSA, and I find that absurd, there is no absolute probability of
>> being alive, probability is only meaningful between two moments...
>>
>>
>>  But there's a probability of being alive at time t in the future,
>>
>
>  This is ASSA
>
>
>> and that can become arbitrarily small, and in fact it is arbitrarily
>> small
>>
>
>  If absolute measure makes sense, then your absolute measure is always
> decreasing, still in MWI, as there is always a next moment (which will be
> as *real* as the previous one), I don't see how ASSA is relevant for the
> question.
>
>
> I guess it depends on how you value future states.  If only those you
> exist in matter then you can ignore the ASSA.  No need for life insurance.
> No concern about global warming.
>

That does not follow... RSSA is moment to moment... If you have a gun in
front of you and you shoot in your head and if MWI is true, there will be
more branches where you are crippled than where you are perfectly safe (and
a hell of a lot more where you're dead, but *we don't count where you're
not*).


>
>
>
>
>
>> - so all rational decisions will be based on assuming it becomes zero.
>> Right?
>>
>
>  I don't see how decisions come into play here, rational decisions
> depends on the one taking them... I would rationally choose to minimize arm
> for me (so as not to put my life in jeopardy), because if MWI is true *and*
> with RSSA, me in front on a shotgun, will likely result me being crippled
> while not dead with a hell lot more probability than being perfectly safe
>
>
> But most such events, like being shot with a shotgun, are essentially
> classical which implies that your continuations depend on extremely
> improbable events
>

Sure, but the point is *αΊ—here is a continuation*; that's all what is needed
for the argument to follow.


> - Rumsfeld's unknown unknowns, e.g. you wake up from having dreamed a
> whole life which led to you being shot, or you discover you are just
> participating in a simulation in which you were shot, or you're not really
> Quentin Anciaux, or...  Did you read "Divided by Infinity"?
>
>
>   .... RSSA is of use, ASSA not much at all.
>
>
> So have you bought an annuity for your retirement?
>

You confuse things... RSSA is important, and that's why you buy a life
insurance.

Quentin


>
> Brent
>
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-- 
All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.

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