On 11/12/2013 1:37 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
2013/11/12 meekerdb <meeke...@verizon.net <mailto:meeke...@verizon.net>>
On 11/12/2013 1:02 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
2013/11/12 meekerdb <meeke...@verizon.net <mailto:meeke...@verizon.net>>
On 11/12/2013 12:45 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
2013/11/12 meekerdb <meeke...@verizon.net <mailto:meeke...@verizon.net>>
On 11/12/2013 12:23 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
This is ASSA, and I find that absurd, there is no absolute
probability of
being alive, probability is only meaningful between two moments...
But there's a probability of being alive at time t in the future,
This is ASSA
and that can become arbitrarily small, and in fact it is
arbitrarily small
If absolute measure makes sense, then your absolute measure is always
decreasing, still in MWI, as there is always a next moment (which will
be as
*real* as the previous one), I don't see how ASSA is relevant for the
question.
I guess it depends on how you value future states. If only those you
exist in
matter then you can ignore the ASSA. No need for life insurance. No
concern
about global warming.
That does not follow... RSSA is moment to moment... If you have a gun in
front of
you and you shoot in your head and if MWI is true, there will be more
branches
where you are crippled than where you are perfectly safe (and a hell of a
lot more
where you're dead, but *we don't count where you're not*).
But that's part of what bothers me about this idea. How
crippled/brain-damaged can
you be and still count as a continuation? Are there degrees of
continuation?
As long as you still feel you, that counts.
If so, why can't the degrees asymptote to zero?
It is, reread my previous message, there is a continuum of such continuations. The one
that don't count are the one where nothing is left from you. I would say also, there is
a continuum but by RSSA, nearest continuation should have higher probability.
- so all rational decisions will be based on assuming it becomes
zero. Right?
I don't see how decisions come into play here, rational decisions
depends on
the one taking them... I would rationally choose to minimize arm for me
(so as
not to put my life in jeopardy), because if MWI is true *and* with
RSSA, me in
front on a shotgun, will likely result me being crippled while not dead
with a
hell lot more probability than being perfectly safe
But most such events, like being shot with a shotgun, are essentially
classical
which implies that your continuations depend on extremely improbable
events
Sure, but the point is *αΊ—here is a continuation*; that's all what is needed
for the
argument to follow.
"There is a continuation" seems to slough over what counts as a
continuation and
whether we should care about it.
There is a continuum of continuations, the point is there is, so you either argue MWI is
false, but your argument is pointeless if MWI is true, that's the way it is.
Well I'm certainly not dogmatically assuming MWI. In fact I'm testing whether it leads to
absurdities.
If the only continuations are quite different from what you think of as
Quentin
Anciaux, do they still count?
The only thing that count is 1st POV...
So *you* Quentin Anciaux (incidentally, how do pronounce that?) don't necessarily
continue. It is just that there is a continuation of 1p POVs. So we're down to the
question of what constitutes a 1p POV.
And I don't think you can just rely on the continuity of Hilbert space
evolution
because the time scale of that evolution can be much faster than the
sequences of
conscious thought. So as far QM goes you could evolve from Quentin Anciaux
to Neo
(or to Brent Meeker) in a millisecond.
- Rumsfeld's unknown unknowns, e.g. you wake up from having dreamed a
whole
life which led to you being shot, or you discover you are just
participating in
a simulation in which you were shot, or you're not really Quentin
Anciaux,
or... Did you read "Divided by Infinity"?
.... RSSA is of use, ASSA not much at all.
So have you bought an annuity for your retirement?
You confuse things... RSSA is important, and that's why you buy a life
insurance.
Life insurance I understand, it is for other people that survive you (in
almost all
worlds). But an annuity is for yourself, so that you don't outlive your
savings in
your retirement.
So what ?
So if you think you will live much longer than the insurance companies think you will, you
should buy an annuity for your (very) old age.
Brent
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