On 6/26/2019 7:18 AM, Telmo Menezes wrote:


On Tue, Jun 25, 2019, at 00:38, Bruce Kellett wrote:
On Tue, Jun 25, 2019 at 6:24 AM Quentin Anciaux <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:


    Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 22:00, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List
    <[email protected]
    <mailto:[email protected]>> a écrit :

        On 6/24/2019 12:56 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
        Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 20:52, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything
        List <[email protected]
        <mailto:[email protected]>> a écrit :


            What is "ordered"?  A sample is just a sample, it has no
            order. If quantum immortality is true, then you must
            exist at all ages. And a sample from that distribution
            is unlikely to find you young.  Sure, if you condition
            on being young, then you will see young people around
            you...because whether you are young or not you will see
            young people around you. The problem is that YOU are
            most likely to be old.


        The thing is you had to be young first. You're talking with
        ASSA in mind. ASSA is nonsense.

        So if I go on a thousand mile journey I'm most likely to find
        myself within a mile of my starting point.  I think THAT's
        nonsense.



    You're not talking about mwi but a theory where moments exist by
    themselves and are selected randomly... That's nonsense.


On the theory of quantum immortality, you have many more old moments than  young moments.

I disagree. Assuming that our timelines are constantly branching and that for every amount of time t that we live there is some p probability that we die for some reasons, and worst yet, this probability increases as we get older, this tree will become sparser the deeper you go.

If you apply self-sampling reasoning to the observer moments contained in that tree, even though it may contain very deep branches, the probability of finding oneself at such as depth becomes astronomically low.

I would claim that the very assumptions that quantum immortality rests on make it nonsensical to restrict self-sampling to a single timeline.

Yes, I see that point.  But if you have at least one timeline that is immortal, i.e. infinite, it can have higher measure than the sum of all those finite timelines...unless they are infinite in number(?).  And as I understand quantum immortality, almost every time line is infinite.

Brent


Telmo.

If it is nonsense that this means that you are more likely to find yourself old, then this is the same nonsense that underlies any account of quantum phenomena in terms of self-location on some branch of the wave function or the other.


Bruce


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