On 6/24/2019 11:37 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:


Le mar. 25 juin 2019 à 08:28, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> a écrit :



    On 6/24/2019 9:58 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:


    Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 22:50, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List
    <[email protected]
    <mailto:[email protected]>> a écrit :



        On 6/24/2019 1:24 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:


        Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 22:00, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything
        List <[email protected]
        <mailto:[email protected]>> a écrit :



            On 6/24/2019 12:56 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:


            Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 20:52, 'Brent Meeker' via
            Everything List <[email protected]
            <mailto:[email protected]>> a écrit :



                On 6/24/2019 11:08 AM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:


                Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 19:30, 'Brent Meeker' via
                Everything List <[email protected]
                <mailto:[email protected]>> a écrit :



                    On 6/24/2019 2:29 AM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:


                    Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 11:18, Bruno Marchal
                    <[email protected]
                    <mailto:[email protected]>> a écrit :


                        On 24 Jun 2019, at 05:55, 'Brent Meeker'
                        via Everything List
                        <[email protected]
                        <mailto:[email protected]>>
                        wrote:



                        On 6/23/2019 5:40 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:

                        On 21 Jun 2019, at 21:49, 'Brent
                        Meeker' via Everything List
                        <[email protected]
                        <mailto:[email protected]>>
                        wrote:



                        On 6/21/2019 5:35 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:

                        On 21 Jun 2019, at 09:04, Bruce
                        Kellett <[email protected]
                        <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

                        On Fri, Jun 21, 2019 at 4:26 PM
                        'Brent Meeker' via Everything List
                        <[email protected]
                        <mailto:[email protected]>>
                        wrote:


                            To disconfirm MWI you'd have to
                            observe statistics far from the
                            expected value,


                        To make my point more strongly, that
                        is the wrong way round. Observation
                        of statistics far from the expected
                        value is what would be required to
                        confirm MWI.

                        I don’t see this at all.



                        The fact that we don't observe such
                        results is the strongest possible
                        case against MWI!

                        ?

                        The probability to see a deviation is
                        the same in both Everett, and
                        Copenhagen. The deviation expected is
                        the same, so if there is a deviation,
                        it can hardly be used to claim one
                        theory is more correct than the other.

                        But as Bruce points out Tegmark's
                        machine gun experiment is effectively
                        being carried out by each of us.

                        That is quantum immortality. On this
                        list I have defend this, but Tegmark
                        rejected it, and claimed that the
                        survival to quantum suicide does not
                        entail quantum immortality. He might
                        have changed his mind since, perhaps.



                        So if each of us lives on a million
                        years in some branch of the MW, then
                        each of us will experience 99.9% of
                        our life as a very old person among
                        people younger than 100yrs.

                        Unless there are intimidate realities
                        in between Earth and Heaven.

                        It would still imply that each person
                        would experience only a small part of
                        their existence surrounded by other
                        persons whose age differed by less that
                        120yr from their own. And so each of us
                        should be surprised that we find ourself
                        in exactly that kind of world.


                        Using some anthropoid argument, but like
                        fine tuning, I tend to agree with Vic
                        that is is not really convincing, and
                        should be handled mathematically. Only
                        progress in the mathematical theology
                        will show if this threat Mechanism or not.

                        Bruno


                    The thing is we should first be born before
                    being 1000000 years... so it seems not
                    surprising finding yourself "young", that you
                    are with other "young" people.

                    That's seems to implicitly assume that
                    everybody starts at the same time, so they are
                    young together and then old together (in the
                    branches they survive).  I see no
                    justification for conditioning on being young,
                    since the point of the argument is that given
                    quantum immortality the time you are young is
                    of measure zero.

                    Brent


                You have to be young first, your actual moment is
                not randomly sampled from all possible you
                moments, it is ordered. As very old is very
                unlikely, when in your first years, you should not
                find yourself around very old people.

                What is "ordered"?  A sample is just a sample, it
                has no order.  If quantum immortality is true, then
                you must exist at all ages.  And a sample from that
                distribution is unlikely to find you young.  Sure,
                if you condition on being young, then you will see
                young people around you...because whether you are
                young or not you will see young people around you. 
                The problem is that YOU are most likely to be old.


            The thing is you had to be young first. You're talking
            with ASSA in mind. ASSA is nonsense.

            So if I go on a thousand mile journey I'm most likely to
            find myself within a mile of my starting point.  I think
            THAT's nonsense.



        You're not talking about mwi but a theory where moments
        exist by themselves and are selected randomly... That's
        nonsense.

        Can you explain why it's nonsense.  Can you explain why I
        must find myself on the first mile of my journey?


    I don't know for you but when I make a thousand mile journey, i'm
    living every miles of it, not a random last portion of it, and it
    starts with the first mile.

    But why does that change the probability of me being on mile 50 or
    mile 900?  You seem to be claiming that because they are ordered I
    can never be on the last part...


Not that's your point, you are claiming I should find myself in the last part... but any precise part has measure 0... and life *is not* a sequence picked up at random... not mine and if your theory is that it is, then it fails. I always find myself in the present and nowhere else, and this present follow a previous moment logically connected, I don't fall into existence in the last part of my life, so there is absolutely *no wonder* as to why I experience being young, it's mandatory before being old.

Then there's no wonder as to why I experience being old, it's mandatory after being young.

Brent


Quentin

    which of course then means I couldn't be on the next to last part
    either.  In fact I apparently couldn't even be on any part,
    because that would be later than some earlier part.


    Brent


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