Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 20:52, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
[email protected]> a écrit :

>
>
> On 6/24/2019 11:08 AM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>
>
>
> Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 19:30, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
> [email protected]> a écrit :
>
>>
>>
>> On 6/24/2019 2:29 AM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>> Le lun. 24 juin 2019 à 11:18, Bruno Marchal <[email protected]> a écrit :
>>
>>>
>>> On 24 Jun 2019, at 05:55, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On 6/23/2019 5:40 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>> On 21 Jun 2019, at 21:49, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On 6/21/2019 5:35 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>> On 21 Jun 2019, at 09:04, Bruce Kellett <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>
>>> On Fri, Jun 21, 2019 at 4:26 PM 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <
>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>
>>>>
>>>> To disconfirm MWI you'd have to observe statistics far from the
>>>> expected value,
>>>>
>>>
>>> To make my point more strongly, that is the wrong way round. Observation
>>> of statistics far from the expected value is what would be required to
>>> confirm MWI.
>>>
>>>
>>> I don’t see this at all.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> The fact that we don't observe such results is the strongest possible
>>> case against MWI!
>>>
>>>
>>> ?
>>>
>>> The probability to see a deviation is the same in both Everett, and
>>> Copenhagen. The deviation expected is the same, so if there is a deviation,
>>> it can hardly be used to claim one theory is more correct than the other.
>>>
>>>
>>> But as Bruce points out Tegmark's machine gun experiment is effectively
>>> being carried out by each of us.
>>>
>>>
>>> That is quantum immortality. On this list I have defend this, but
>>> Tegmark rejected it, and claimed that the survival to quantum suicide does
>>> not entail quantum immortality. He might have changed his mind since,
>>> perhaps.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> So if each of us lives on a million years in some branch of the MW, then
>>> each of us will experience 99.9% of our life as a very old person among
>>> people younger than 100yrs.
>>>
>>>
>>> Unless there are intimidate realities in between Earth and Heaven.
>>>
>>>
>>> It would still imply that each person would experience only a small part
>>> of their existence surrounded by other persons whose age differed by less
>>> that 120yr from their own.  And so each of us should be surprised that we
>>> find ourself in exactly that kind of world.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Using some anthropoid argument, but like fine tuning, I tend to agree
>>> with Vic that is is not really convincing, and should be handled
>>> mathematically. Only progress in the mathematical theology will show if
>>> this threat Mechanism or not.
>>>
>>> Bruno
>>>
>>
>> The thing is we should first be born before being 1000000 years... so it
>> seems not surprising finding yourself "young", that you are with other
>> "young" people.
>>
>>
>> That's seems to implicitly assume that everybody starts at the same time,
>> so they are young together and then old together (in the branches they
>> survive).  I see no justification for conditioning on being young, since
>> the point of the argument is that given quantum immortality the time you
>> are young is of measure zero.
>>
>> Brent
>>
>
> You have to be young first, your actual moment is not randomly sampled
> from all possible you moments, it is ordered. As very old is very unlikely,
> when in your first years, you should not find yourself around very old
> people.
>
>
> What is "ordered"?  A sample is just a sample, it has no order.  If
> quantum immortality is true, then you must exist at all ages.  And a sample
> from that distribution is unlikely to find you young.  Sure, if you
> condition on being young, then you will see young people around
> you...because whether you are young or not you will see young people around
> you.  The problem is that YOU are most likely to be old.
>

The thing is you had to be young first. You're talking with ASSA in mind.
ASSA is nonsense.

>
> Brent
>
>
>>
>> If our age was randomly selected, then I agree it should be a surprise
>> finding yourself young... but as you cannot be old *before* having being
>> young *you have to* find youself young first in the flow of your life.
>>
>> Quentin
>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Brent
>>>
>>> That is the whole subject of mathematical theology. Computer science
>>> justifies jumps and intermediate realities. It is not an obvious subjects,
>>> but the nuances given by incompleteness provides some light. Some personal
>>> experience, like with some plants, can help, but can also mislead. Nothing
>>> is obvious, and everything requires a lot of work.
>>>
>>> Bruno
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Brent
>>>
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>>
>>
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>> All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain. (Roy
>> Batty/Rutger Hauer)
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