On Fri, Sep 4, 2020 at 8:01 AM 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List < everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:
> Sure. But Albert's argument is that in a single, probabilistic world that > implements Born's rule, the number of scientist who find something contrary > to Born's rule goes to zero as the number of repetitions increases. But in > the multiverse there are always contrary worlds and, while their fraction > decreases, their number increases with repetitions. > That is really the essential difference between Everettian notions of probability and standard probabilistic theory/practice. In the Everettian repeated experiment case, disconfirming cases occur with probability one, so it is strictly incoherent to claim (as Everettians, such as Sean Carroll, do) that these "monster" results can be ignored because they have low probability. The only thing that that can mean is that you are justified in ignoring them because they have low frequency: but that is a different definition of probability -- a frequentist notion that all reject. At best, what they might mean is that if you take all outcomes as equally likely, then the probability that you will get a low frequency outcome by chance in a random selection from the uniform distribution over all possibilities, is low. But that introduces yet another source of probability. It might be what is necessarily entailed in a definition of probability in terms of self-locating uncertainty, but it still involves one in the absurdity of claiming that things that necessarily happen have low probability. We cannot consistently claim in one breath that the probability is one, and in another breath, that probability is "low". Bruce > Brent > > On 9/3/2020 12:02 PM, Quentin Anciaux wrote: > > Hi, > as there will be persons in self duplicate experiment who'll see WWW...WW. > > But most should converge on 50%. > > Quentin > > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to everything-list+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/CAFxXSLQukPmz5mM2FMRXgbsfvD1pFYJsXCbstej0NZi7yC5QzQ%40mail.gmail.com.
