On Wed, Feb 5, 2025 at 7:53 PM Quentin Anciaux <[email protected]> wrote:
> > Repeated experiments don’t change the core issue. Even if you perform an > experiment a trillion times, in a single-history universe, there is still > only one realized sequence of outcomes. That means certain possibilities > with greater than zero probability will simply never happen—not just in a > given run, but ever. > In a long series of repeated experiments all possible outcomes are realized a number of times that is reflective of their theoretical probabilities. The sequence of N repetitions gives you an estimate of the probability distribution. If every outcome is realized on every trial, you do not get a unique insight into the underlying probability distribution, because all possible sequences are realized, and this tells you nothing about the true probabilities. Besides, there is no interaction between branches and there is no causal link between outcomes. despite what you claim to the contrary. Bruce If the universe has a unique history and that history unfolds in a specific > way, then all the unrealized possibilities are not just unrealized—they > were never part of reality in any way. They had no causal link to what > happened, no mechanism by which they could have happened, and no effect on > the realized sequence of events. > > So what does it mean to say an event had a 10% probability if, across all > of history, it never occurs? In a framework where only one history is real, > probability becomes a misleading abstraction—it suggests possibilities that > were never truly possible. The math remains consistent, but it describes > nothing but an idealized concept detached from what actually exists. > > Contrast this with a framework where all possibilities are realized: > probabilities describe distributions of real events across real histories. > The meaning of probability is preserved because it refers to actual > occurrences, not hypothetical ones that were never part of reality to begin > with. > > In a single-history framework, probability becomes a story we tell > ourselves about things that never were and never could be. That’s the > absurdity. > > Quentin > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/CAFxXSLQYoyNvJPy3-r3sAexKY5%3DmHQ1A9CTn6mA7o215Mf4DvQ%40mail.gmail.com.
